Kentucky, 2002

Flooding in Kentucky, March 20 to 21, 2002

March 20 to 21, 2002 · NWS RLX · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

Light rain moved into northeast Kentucky during the predawn hours of the 19th. Light to moderate rainfall fell during the 19th, as a warm front tired to lift north from the Tennessee Valley.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$3.0 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS RLX wrote it up.

Light rain moved into northeast Kentucky during the predawn hours of the 19th. Light to moderate rainfall fell during the 19th, as a warm front tired to lift north from the Tennessee Valley. The heaviest rains occurred from 0100 to 0800E on the 20th, ahead of the low pressure wave on the strong frontal boundary. Rains then diminished during the morning of the 20th. Rain totals from the 30 hour event were 2.5 to 4.5 inches, with roughly 60% of the total occurring in about 6 hours on the 20th. The axis of the heaviest rain was generally along the Interstate 64 corridor, from Olive Hill to Ashland. Rain totals included 4.5 inches from Ashland, 4.3 inches from Carter Caves, 4.2 inches from Grayson, and 3.7 inches from Warnock. Automated gauges showed around 4.3 inches at Cannonsburg of Boyd County. Automated gauges from Potato Knob and Sinking Creek in Carter County indicated 4.1 inches. In Greenup County, Culp Creek measured 3.6 inches, while the Greenup EOC had 3.3 inches. Lawrence County received the lower limit of rain. Charlie reported 2.7 inches of rain. Widespread small stream, poor drainage, and urban flooding occurred during the morning hours of the 20th. Many people were stranded as roads became flooded. River flooding along the Little Sandy River occurred later in the day. The office of emergency management director in Carter County said, "it's devastation all over the county." Olive Hill, Norton Branch, and Hitchens were hardest hit. The headwaters of Tygarts Creek flooded at least two-thirds of the city buildings in Olive Hill. The fire station saw almost 2 feet of water inside. Residents called it the highest water since the 1937 flood,. On Norton Branch, a unoccupied mobile home was carried off and became wedged under an old railroad trestle. The Little Sandy River crested at Grayson around 2300E on the 20th at 29.2 feet. Flood stage is 21 feet. Preliminary damage assessment indicated 2 mobile homes were destroyed in Carter County. Three single family homes and 2 mobile homes had major damage. One county bridge was destroyed. Damage estimated to public structures, such as roads, were around $400,000. In Boyd County, houses and trailers along Shopes Creek were surrounded by water. Rescue workers evacuated families by boat. Flooded basements and streets were widespread in Ashland and Westwood. Preliminary damage assessment in Boyd County indicated 1 single family home and 2 mobile homes were destroyed. Twenty-five single family homes and 4 mobile homes had major damage. Estimates for public assistance, mainly for road damage and debris removal, was on the order of $250,000. Most of the water problems in Greenup County were along Tygarts Creek and the Little Sandy River. This affected homes, bridges, and Routes 2, 7 and 1. Tygarts Creek crested at the base of the covered bridge at Bennett's Mill. Repairs to road slippage in Greenup County were estimated at $400,000. Preliminary damage assessment indicated 2 mobile homes were destroyed in Greenup County. Four single family homes and 5 mobile homes had major damage. In Lawrence County, precautionary evacuations were along Cat Fork, west of Fallsburg. State officials estimated about $240,000 damage for bridge repair and debris removal in the county. No homes were affected. After local emergencies were declared, Governor Patton requested federal assistance from President Bush. On the 4th of April, the 4 northeast Kentucky counties were included in FEMA disaster declaration 1407. This provided both individual and public assistance.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 19, 2:30 PM EST, 10 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 19, 2:30 PM EST, 10 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
230 PM EST TUE MAR 19 2002

FIRST WAVE MOVED THROUGH REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH AMOUNTS
GENERALLY BETWEEN A QUARTER AND HALF INCH.  FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES
NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO WAVE PUSHING INTO SE KY.  AS A RESULT FOCUS
OF RAIN EARLY THIS EVE DRIFTS NORTHWARD FROM TODAYS AREA.  THE 2 OH
COUNTIES LEFT OUT OF FFA MAY EXPERIENCE SOME GOOD RAINS THIS EVE IN
RESPONSE BUT THE HEAVIEST RAIN PUSHES BACK SOUTHEAST WED MORNING...
HEAVIEST QPF OVER CENTRAL SECTIONS BY 09Z WED MORNING.  AXIS OF PWS
GREATER THAN 1.50 INCHES ACROSS MIDSECTION.  THE BEST SOUTHERLY LOW
LEVEL INFLOW AND MOISTURE IN CWA WILL SPREAD EASTWARD OVERNIGHT AS
THE LOW LEVEL JET VEERS AND INCREASES TO 40-50 KNOTS. FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THEN SAGS SOUTHEAST ONCE AGAIN AND FINALLY IS PUSHED OUT BY
WED EVE. SMALL BREAK BEFORE COLD AIR ARRIVES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

EXTENDED (THURS NITE THRU TUES)
MODELS CONSISTENT IN HAVING A DRY START TO THE PERIOD WITH COLD HIGH
PRESSURE IN PLACE.  EXCEPT FOR UPSLOPE REGIONS WHERE SNOW SHOWER
ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP IN NORTHWEST FLOW. THE COLDEST NIGHT SHOULD
BE FRIDAY NIGHT WHEN SKIES SHOULD CLEAR AND WINDS BE LIGHT.

RETURN TO SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SFC HIGH
SLIDES EAST.  SOME WARM ADVECTION CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE
LATE SAT.  HAVE MOVED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS FROM MONDAY TO SUNDAY AS
WARM FRONT SLIDES NORTH OF THE AREA.  ANY PRECIP SHOULD BE LIGHT.
WITH BEST INFLOW FROM THE GULF  SETTING UP ACROSS THE MISS
VALLEY...MONDAY SHOULD BE A MILD AND DRY DAY WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW.
AS UPPER TROF FINALLY BEGIN TO PULL EAST ON TUESDAY...EXPECT AN
INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AS GULF INFLOW TURNS SOUTHWEST TOWARD OH
VALLEY.  HEAVIEST PCPN SHOULD MOVE INTO GREAT LAKES WITH THIS EVENT.

.RLX...
WV...FFA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR WESTERN HALF...FFA
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR EASTERN HALF
VA...FFA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
KY...FFA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
OH...FFA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR ALL BUT PERRY AND MORGAN

.END/DB/ESS

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Boyd

When
March 20, 1:00 AM EST to March 21, 1:00 AM EST
Where
Boyd forecast zone
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
38.360, -82.688 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Flood, Carter

When
March 20, 1:00 AM EST to March 21, 1:00 AM EST
Where
Carter forecast zone
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
38.318, -83.049 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Flood, Greenup

When
March 20, 1:00 AM EST to March 21, 1:00 AM EST
Where
Greenup forecast zone
Property damage
$700,000
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
38.546, -82.922 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Flood, Lawrence

When
March 20, 1:00 AM EST to March 21, 1:00 AM EST
Where
Lawrence forecast zone
Property damage
$300,000
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
38.068, -82.735 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Kentucky in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, March 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5282940, 5282941, 5282942, 5282943.