Kentucky, 2002

Flash Flood in Kentucky, March 17 to 18, 2002

March 17 to 18, 2002 · NWS JKL · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$10,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 17, 3:10 PM EST, 7 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 3:10 PM EST, 7 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
310 PM EST SUN MAR 17 2002

DEFINITELY GOING TO BE CONCERNED WITH THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF CWA
AND THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL THEY WILL SEE.  FFA OUT FOR REST OF TODAY
AND TONIGHT FOR SOUTHERN HALF OF CWA.  AVN SOLN HAS PRECIP MAXIMA
OVER OUR BORDER WITH TN WHEREAS ETA SOLN HAS MAXIMA COMPLETELY IN
TN/VA.  PER HPC DISCUSSION...MODELS HAVE BEEN UNDERESTIMATING
PRECIP. A QUARTER TO A HALF N AND ONE TO TWO IN S.

CHC RAIN FOR MON AS BOUNDARY STAYS IN THE AREA.

MON NIGHT WARM FRONT AND WAVE FROM THE TX LOW MOVES AS FAR NORTH AS
KY.  THEREFORE CHANCES OF RAIN INCREASE FROM SW TO NE AS THE NIGHT
PROGRESSES.  AT THIS POINT WITH THE DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL AND THE
TENDENCY TO PUSH SYSTEM WEST FURTHER...IT IS HARD TO SAY WHEN RAIN
WILL BEGIN...LOOKS 12ZISH.  NOSE OF 8H JET STICKING RIGHT ALONG WITH
THE FRONT...LIKE ITS HAS BEEN...AIDING IN PRECIP.

TUES: MAIN PRECIP AREA TO OUR NORTH BUT WITH WAVES IN CONSTANT
DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE AREA OUR CHANCES MIGHT LEAN TOWARDS
AVN...ALSO SEEING THAT THE THOUGHT IS THAT AVN IS DOING WELL
STRENGTH WISE.

DIFFERENT TRACK OF TX LOW THAN I REMEMBER YESTERDAY.  WITH LOW NOW
MOVING RIGHT OVER KY OVERNIGHT WED...ALONG WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
MODERATE PRECIPITATION.  RAIN RELIEF AND COOLER TEMPS FOLLOW FINAL
COLD FROPA.

WED NIGHT/THURS LOOKING DRY.  RIDGING ENCROACHES TEMPORARILY OVER
OUR AREA...AS WEVE SEEN QUITE A BIT THIS WINTER IN THE WAKE OF
SIGNIFICANT SYSTEMS.

EXTENDED: WITH THE UNCERTAINTY THE EXTENDED BRINGS...NOT PLANNING ON
CHANGING MUCH.  IF MRF PLAN PANS OUT WE HAVE A BETTER CHANCE OF
CAA/NW FLOW SHSN...BUT IF THINGS ARE DELAYED AND THE ECMWF HAS ITS
WAY...LINGERING PRECIP HAS BETTER CHANCE OF BEING LIGHT SHRA AS COOL
DOWN HOLDS OFF ABOUT 24 HRS.  STILL WORDING THE SHRA/SHSN FOR FRI.
START TO SEE MODERATION LATE SUN AS COOL CANADIAN HIGH MOVES EAST TO
THE ATLANTIC.  GOING ABOVE MOS/KEEPING WITH CURRENT FORECAST THURS
NIGHT AND FRI.

IFPS/GFE: POPULATED DAY 7 FROM MRF.  STILL WORKING ON IT...BUT
WANTED TO GET AFD OUT.

JKLWRKOZF OUT BEFORE LONG.  THANKS TO SDF AND BNA FOR COORDINATION.
ADDITIONAL COORDINATION WELCOME.

.JKL...FFA FOR THE SOUTHERN 1/2 OR SO OF THE CWA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

OUDEMAN

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 146 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 03:20 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Wayne

When
March 17, 10:20 PM EST to March 18, 5:00 AM EST
Where
Wayne County, Monticello
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
36.801, -84.829 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy rains during March 17th caused repeated episodes of flash flooding. Several roads were flooded.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Kentucky in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, March 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5286654.