Kentucky, 2002Damaging Wind in Kentucky, August 25, 2002
August 25, 2002 · NWS JKL · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 25, 2:09 PM EST, 2 hours 53 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 25, 2:09 PM EST, 2 hours 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
309 PM EDT SUN AUG 25 2002
...FORECAST ISSUES...
PRECIP CHANCES THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES
WILL ALSO BE TRICKY AS WELL.
...MODELS/ZFP...
MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN AGREEMENT WITH DEVELOPING CLOSED UPPER LOW
OVER THE OHIO VALLEY IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT THE SURFACE...SURFACE
LOW FORECAST TO SPIN DOWN TO OUR SOUTHEAST AN THEN MAKE RUN UP THE
EAST COAST. MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE CONTINUES TO BE RAIN CHANCES
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
IN THE NEAR TERM...CONVECTION FIRING ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL
AND EASTERN KENTUCKY IN RESPONSE TO SURFACE HEATING AND TROF AXIS
CLEARLY SEEN IN SAT IMAGERY LOCATED OVER SOUTHWEST INDIANA. EXPECT
THIS CONVECTION TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS AND THEN BEGIN TO
DIE OFF AFTER SUNSET. WILL RUN CHANCE POPS TONIGHT MAINLY EARLY TO
ACCOUNT FOR THIS. MAV/MET/FWC NUMBERS HAVE BEEN RUNNING A LITTLE
COOL OVER THE PAST FEW MORNINGS...SO PLAN ON RAISING OVERNIGHT TEMPS
SLIGHTLY...ESPECIALLY WITH THE CLOUD COVER. BELIEVE PATCHY FOG WILL
ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP LATER THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT SEE
RAIN THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.
FOR MONDAY-WEDNESDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN AGREEMENT IN PARKING
UPPER LOW ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. PROBLEM WILL BE TIMING VORT MAXES
PINWHEELING AROUND THE LOW. PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL BE AROUND SO IT WONT TAKE MUCH TO GET THINGS
GOING. ALTHOUGH THE MODELS SEEM TO PLACING MUCH OF THE QPF FURTHER
AND FURTHER EAST WITH EACH RUN. AT ANYRATE...WILL CONTINUE CHANCE
POPS ACROSS THE BOARD THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FWC/MAV/MET NUMBERS ARE
CLOSE AND PLAN ON USING A BLEND. TEMPS WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THE
PERIOD WITH ALL THE CLOUDS AROUND.
...EXTENDED...
EXTENDED MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE BIG UPPER LOW OVER THE OHIO VALLEY
AREA IN THE EARLY PART OF THE EXTENDED. THE CANADIAN AND NAVY
NOGAPS PULL THIS SYSTEM NORTH FASTER THAN THE OTHER EXTENDED
MODELS. THE 00Z GFS RUN COMPRESSES THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AS THE TWO
RIDGES...ONE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND ONE OVER THE SOUTHWEST
EXPAND WEST AND EAST RESPECTIVELY AND SQUEEZE THE ENERGY NORTH INTO
THE GREAT LAKES. BY LATE IN THE EXTENDED ANOTHER H5 WAVE ROLLS OVER
THE TOP OF THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE AND HEADS EAST ACROSS THE AREA.
AS FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER...SURFACE LOW FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE
SOUTHEAST AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE
COMBINATION OF THE UPPER LOW AND SURFACE LOW NEAR US WILL RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD CLOUDS WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BEST CHANCE OF
RAIN LOOKS TO BE FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THINGS BEGIN TO DRY
OUT SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK. AT THIS TIME PLAN ON
KEEPING CHANCE POPS FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. NO REAL CHANGE
IN TEMPS...THOUGH THEY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE IN THE MID 60S.
...GRIDS...
GRIDS IN REAL GOOD SHAPE. LOADED IN DAY 7 IN THE EXTENDED WITH GFS
DATA. DID THE USUAL RELOAD OF WINDS FROM THE MESO ETA IN THE FIRST
60 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...ONLY MINOR TWEAKS DONE TO THE ELEMENTS.
...PRELIM NUMBERS...
LOZ 67/82 66/80 3555
JKL 67/81 66/80 3445
.JKL...NONE.
JARVIS
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PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS FOLLOW
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MORNING UPDATE DISCUSSION
1105 AM EDT
MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE MORE PROMINENT THAN FORECAST IN THE
NORTH...AND LATEST INFORMATION SUGGESTS THAT WILL NOT CHANGE.
HOWEVER...DRIER LOW LEVEL AIR AND SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS SEVERAL
THOUSAND FEET UP ON THE MESOETA ALSO MEAN IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR
CONVECTION TO FIRE IN THE FAR NORTH. MEANWHILE...IN THE SOUTHERN
PART OF THE AREA...EXTENSIVE CLOUDS WILL HINDER TEMPS FROM WARMING
AS MUCH AS WAS FORECAST.
WILL SPLIT OFF A FAR NORTHERN GROUP FROM MONTGOMERY COUNTY EAST TO
MARTIN COUNTY AND REMOVE AFTERNOON PRECIP. WILL GO WITH 1ST PERIOD
CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS IN ALL BUT THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA...WHERE
MOSTLY CLOUDY WORDING WILL BE LEFT AS IS. IN THE SOUTH...WILL DROP
1ST PERIOD TEMPS SLIGHTLY TO 80 TO 85.
HAL
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MORNING DISCUSSION
300 AM EDT
NUMEROUS CHALLENGES THRU THE FCST PACKAGE...MAINLY EVOLVING AROUND
PCPN CHANCES AND SKY COVER AND TO A LESSER EXTENT HIGH TEMPERATURES.
SFC CHART EARLY THIS MORNING SHOWING WEAK COLD FRONT/BNDRY SLIDING
THRU THE CWA WITH A WEAK LOW NEAR HTS AND BTWN BWG AND PAH. HIGH
PRESSURE OVER N IN AND W IA. SAT PICS SHOWING COPIOUS CI BLOW OFF
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AND SFC OBS ALSO SHOWING SOME MID LVL
CLOUDINESS. RADAR SHOWED SOME ISOLATED RENEGADE SHOWERS OVER THE CWA
EARLIER...SCT SHOWERS STILL OVER WV MOVING SE THIS MORNING AND
INCREASING SHRA/TSRA OVER TN MOVING E-NE.
SKY FCST TUFF THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS CONDITIONS WILL PROBABLY RANGE
FROM PC TO MCLOUDY AT TIMES. JUST HOW DENSE WILL THE CI BE AND HOW
MUCH WILL IT HOLD DOWN INSOLATION IS A TUFF CALL. ETA/M-ETA MODEL
THIS MORNING IS WAY TOO WET RIGHT OFF THE BAT BUT THEY SEEM TO
REGROUP SOMEWHAT AS THE DAY WEARS ON. THINKING BEST CHC OF POPS
TODAY ALONG THE SOUTHERN ZONES AND NEAR THE TN BORDER...LOWER POPS
(SLGHT CHC) ACROSS THE NORTH. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S NORTH AND MID
80S SOUTH. WILL CONTINUE WITH A SLIGHT CHC NORTH AND 30% SOUTH FOR
TONIGHT.
MODELS ALL STILL ADVERTISING SOMEWHAT UNUSUAL 5H CUT OFF LOW TO SET
UP FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS OVER W-CNTRL TN/KY AND THEN THE 5H AND
SFC LOWS WOBBLE AROUND THE AREA. SOME DIFFERENCES IN PLACEMENT AND
STRENGTH BUT THEY AGREE OVERALL IN AN INCRLY WET LOOKING SCENARIO.
BASICALLY WENT WITH A SLOWLY INCREASING SKY COVER AND POPS RIGHT ON
INTO NEXT WEEK. PREV FCST PACKAGE WAS LEANING THIS WAY AND I AM TO.
I INCREASED THE SKY COVER A TAD FOR MON AND TUE AND ALSO RAISED THE
THE POPS ANOTHER 10 PERCENT. LOWERED THE MAX TEMPS JUST A LITTLE
ALSO FOR MON-TUE TO AROUND/NEAR 80. HAVE SOME CONCERN THAT IT COULD
BE EVEN A LITTLE COOLER THAN THAT IN THE FAR E-NE ZONES AND AGREE
WITH CRW IN NDFD CHAT ROOM DISC FOR TEMPS. NOTED HPC DAY 3 (TUE) MAX
TEMP PROG WITH HIGHS ONLY MID 70S ACROSS THE BOARD. I KEPT EITHER 40
OR 50 POPS IN THE DATABASE FOR WED AND THUR AND CHC POPS AGAIN FOR
FRI AND SAT. FIGURE WE WILL BE REFINING POPS ON A DAILY BASIS AS THE
EVENT UNFOLDS.
GFE/IFPS...DATA BASE LOOKS PRETTY GOOD. ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE HERE
AND THERE AS NOTED ABOVE. DIDNT ADD ANY NEW MODEL DATA.
MOS...ETA MOS HITTING THE POPS TOO HARD AND WILL LEAN MORE TOWARD
THE MAV AND NGM. ETA TEMPS ALSO A TOUCH TOO COOL. THE METAS UPPER
50S MON NIGHT ALSO SEEMS TOO COOL.
THANKS TO CRW AND MRX FOR CHAT ROOM COORDINATION THIS MORNING AND TO
SDF FOR LAND LINE COORDINATION. WORK ZONES OUT BEFORE TOO LONG UNDER
SDFOZFJKL.
HALL
Thunderstorm Wind, McCreary
- When
- August 25, 5:02 PM EST
- Where
- McCreary County, 5 mi ESE of Strunk
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 36.737, -84.484 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Several trees were blown down. Also, three quarter inch diameter hail was reported.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Damaging Winds in Texas, August 25, 2002$55,000 · 57 kt wind · 14 events
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strike in Arkansas, August 25, 2002$40,000 · 61 kt wind · 7 events
- Damaging Winds in Mississippi, August 25, 2002$30,000 · 7 events
- Damaging Wind in Alabama, August 25, 2002$35,000 · 60 kt wind · 1 event
- Damaging Wind in Mississippi, August 25, 2002$30,000 · 55 kt wind · 1 event
- Damaging Wind in South Carolina, August 25, 2002$25,000 · 65 kt wind · 1 event
- Damaging Winds in Texas, August 25, 2002$22,000 · 55 kt wind · 2 events
- Damaging Wind in Tennessee, August 25, 2002$20,000 · 1 event
- Lightning Strike in South Carolina, August 25, 20021 injured · 1 event
- Hail in Montana, August 25, 2002$10,000 · 1.75 in hail · 5 events
- Hail in North Dakota, August 25 to 26, 20021 in hail · 4 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Colorado, August 25, 20021.5 in hail · 3 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5314266.