Hail in Illinois, April 14, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
130 PM CDT SUN APR 14 2002

BKN-OVC SC RMNS ACRS MUCH OF THE RGN ATTM WITH LOOP SHOWG DRIER AIR
ADVCTG IN FM THE SW.  SHOULD CONT TO SEE DECK BRKING UP DURG THE
AFTN. WRM AIR AT 850 WAS IN PLACE ACRS THE HI PLNS THIS MRNG.  AVN
AND ETA ARE SMRL IN ADVCTG 18C TEMPS INTO N CNTRL MO BY MON AM.
WITH A FAIRLY DECENT GRADIENT, SLY WINDS SHOULD BOOST TEMPS ON MON
CLOSE TO RECORDS.  RECORD HIGHS ARE : UIN - 86 SET IN 1926,  STL -
87 SET IN 1992 AND COU -  90 SET IN 1896.

AVN SAGS COLD FNT INTO RGN BY 12Z WED WITH FNT FCST TO STALL OUT
BEFORE RETREATING TO THE N AS WRM FNT.  MORE POTENT FNT IS FCST TO
PUSH INTO NW MO BY 12Z FRI.  00Z MRF RUN WAS FASTER WITH FNT WITH
FNT NR STL BY 12Z.

IN THE EXTNDD, THE MRF, UKMET AND ECMWF ARE FAIRLY SMLR AT H5 FOR
THU MRNG WITH CLOSED LOW VCNTY OF THE GRT BASIN AND RDG OVR THE LWR
MS VALLEY.  UKMET IS MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH SYSTM BY FRI EVE THAN
MRF.  MRF BACKS OFF FM SATS RUN ON STRNG S/WV DIGGING INTO THE
MIDWEST.  SHOT OF COLD AIR WILL BE SHRT LIVED WITH NEW RUN.
MRF FCSTS STRNG COLD FNT TO ROLL INTO THE RGN BY FRI MRNG WITH 1036
MB SFC HI CNTRD OVR THE CNTRL ROCKIES BY SAT MRNG.  WITH HI CNTRD
OVR MO SUN MRNG, COOD SEE LOWS IN THE 30S.

.STL...NONE