Damaging Wind in Georgia, November 11, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
415 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

...TORNADO WATCH FOR NC FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT ZONES UNTIL 7 AM...
...TORNADO WATCH FOR SC AND GA ZONES UNTIL 9 AM...

MAIN LINE OF TS IS CURRENTLY RUNNING FROM GVL NORTHEAST TO HKY...AND
PUSHING EAST. LINE SHOULD BE EAST OF THE CWA BY NOON TODAY. UNTIL
THEN THE THREAT OF SVR WX WILL CONTINUE AS FORCING REMAINS DECENT
AND ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR A LEAST STRONG TS WINDS.

TONIGHT THINGS SHOULD BE FAIRLY QUIET AS BOUNDARY SLIDES EAST AND
WITH LITTLE REMAINING FORCING...HAVE TRIMMED BACK POPS. HAVE
INCREASE POPS AND QPF FOR TUES. DEEP H5 TROF WILL MOVE OVER THE MS
VALLEY. GFS CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW OVER THE FL
PANHANDLE AND TRACK TO THE NE. GOOD JET DIV AND OMEGA FIELDS...WITH
SOME INSTABILITY GOOD MOISTURE SHOULD SEE AN SIGNIFICANT AXIS OF
RAINFALL ACROSS CENTRAL SC. HPC QPF SHOWS EASTERN EDGE OF CWA
RECEIVING UP TO 3 TO AN TENTH OVER THE WESTERN SLOPES. TUES PM
PRECIP LINGERS FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHTTIME TO THE EAST...DWINDLE AFTER
MIDNIGHT CENTRAL CWA...AND CAA AND NORTHWEST FLOW SHOULD RESULT IN
-SHRASN IN THE NORTHERN MTNS. LITTLE CHANGE MADE TO WED AND BEYOND.

WILL KEEP TEMPS WITHIN A BLEND OF MOS GUIDANCE.

FCSTID =   16
GSP   72  52  56  42 / 100  40  80  40
AND   73  54  57  43 / 100  50  80  40
CLT   73  54  57  44 / 100  40  80  50
HKY   72  51  54  40 / 100  40  70  40
AVL   69  46  50  37 / 100  30  60  30

.GSP...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

NED

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-101300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
605 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHERN GEORGIA TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE FRONT TONIGHT...SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY
PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

ON TUESDAY...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION.
DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM...HEAVY
RAINFALL MAY RESULT ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA ON TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NED

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-059-063>065-110740-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
137 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

STORMS SPREADING IN FROM EAST TENNESSEE WILL CONTINUE
TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 50 MPH ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.
A FEW TREES COULD BE DOWNED AND POWER INTERRUPTIONS
ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
THROUGH 3 AM.

55

GAZ010-017-018-026-110745-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
209 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING EXTREME
NORTHEAST GEORGIA...

FAST MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA...
MOVING TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH...WILL BE HEADING
INTO EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA BY 3 AM. THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG...POSSIBLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT EARLY THIS MORNING. IF STORMS MAINTAIN THEIR
STRENGTH...WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED WITHIN THE HOUR.

55

SCZ001-004-110815-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
243 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL APPROACH THE
WESTERN UPSTATE...

FAST MOVING THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
MOVING TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH...WILL BE HEADING
INTO THE WESTERN UPSTATE...ESPECIALLY OCONEE COUNTY...AFTER
3 AM. THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG...POSSIBLY DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT EARLY THIS MORNING. IF STORMS
MAINTAIN THEIR STRENGTH...ADDITIONAL WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED
SHORTLY.

55

GAZ028-029-SCZ002-003-005-006-010-011-110930-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
313 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
INTO THE WESTERN UPSTATE AND ADJACENT AREAS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING EAST AT
30 MPH...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH EXTREME NORTHEAST
GEORGIA AND INTO THE WESTERN UPSTATE THROUGH 5 AM. STORMS
WITHIN THIS LINE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL
AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO LIKELY.

55

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC
353 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

350 AM     MOUNTAIN REST             SC   WIND DAMAGE
11/11/02   OCONEE                         TREES BLOWN DOWN BY
                                          THUNDERSTORM WINDS

LANE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC
413 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0353 AM    MOUNTAIN REST             SC   .88 INCH HAIL
11/11/02   OCONEE                         DIME TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL
                                          REPORTED BY A HAM RADIO
                                          OPERATOR AT MOUNTAIN
                                          REST.

BURRUS