Lightning Strike in Florida, July 25, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI
230 PM EDT THU JUL 25 2002

SHORT TERM...TUTT LOW OVER THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST AWAY
FROM SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT. IN ITS PLACE AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
DEVELOP AND THIS WILL BRING MODERATE SUBSIDENCE...CONSEQUENTLY
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR MASS AND LESS SHWR/TSTM ACTIVITY THROUGH AT LEAST
MONDAY. NEVERTHELESS ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY STILL WILL
REMAIN OVER THE AREA AND WHEN COMBINED WITH LOCAL EFFECT WILL STILL
PRODUCE SCT SHWRS OR TSTMS...MAINLY INTERIOR AND WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. SO WILL STILL LEAVE SCT POPS IN THE FORECAST.

MARINE...SFC WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 KNOTS TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND THEN WILL
DIMINISH TO 10 KNOTS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO EAST MONDAY NIGHT AND THEN
NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY AS A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHES OUR COASTAL
WATERS.

EXTENDED...AN TUTT LOW CENTERED AROUND 30N 60W AT 12Z TODAY WILL
MOVE SOUTHWEST AND WILL BE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA MONDAY NIGHT OR EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. AT THE SAME TIME, A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE ATLANTIC
ABOUT 700 NM EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES WILL MOVE WEST AND APPROACH
OUR COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY. BOTH SYSTEMS WILL COMBINED TO INCREASE
THE CHANCE FOR SHWRS/TSTMS DURING THE LATER PART OF THE EXTENDED
PERIOD.

IN THE FIRE WEATHER STILL NO BASIC PROBLEMS.

.CRYSTAL FACE...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA AND
A DRIER AIR MASS IS FORECAST OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
THERE WILL BE SCT SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER
INTERIOR AND WEST COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. TOPS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
55K FEET WITH CIRRUS BLOW OFF TO THE NORTHWEST UNDER A 20 TO 25 KTS
SOUTHEAST FLOW AT 250-200MB.

PBI BB 079/089 078/091 078 1312
FLL BB 079/089 079/090 079 1312
MIA BB 079/089 079/091 079 1312
APF TT 075/090 075/090 075 1313

.MIA...NONE.

GARCIA

FLZ063-066>075-252000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
915 AM EDT THU JUL 25 2002

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS INTERIOR AND WEST AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA
TODAY...POSSIBLE STRONG WIND GUSTS...
...SLIGHT CHANCE RIP CURRENTS EAST COAST BEACHES THIS AFTERNOON...
...HEAT INDICES 100 TO 105 INTERIOR ZONES TODAY...

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE UPON
THE EAST COAST THIS MORNING FROM THE ATLANTIC AND CONTINUE INTO
THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS INTERIOR AND WESTERN AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON,
LINGERING INTO THE EVENING HOURS...THEN LIKELY DISSIPATING BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. THE GREATEST THREAT FROM THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL BE
LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG WIND GUSTS. SOME STORMS WILL
POSSIBLY PRODUCE BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ESPECIALLY IN THE
INTERIOR AND WEST REGIONS.

LIGHTNING KILLS AND INJURES MORE PEOPLE IN SOUTH FLORIDA DURING THE
MONTH OF JULY THAN ANY OTHER MONTH. PERSONS WHO ARE OUTDOORS SHOULD
WATCH FOR THE APPROACH OF LIGHTNING STORMS AND SEEK SHELTER IF
NECESSARY.

THE COMBINATION OF SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 12 TO 18 MPH WITH LOW TIDE
NEAR 4 PM MEANS THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
EAST COAST BEACHES TODAY.

THE COMBINATION OF HIGH TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN
HEAT INDICES RISING FROM 100 TO 105 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON IN THE
INTERIOR AREAS AWAY FROM BOTH THE EAST AND WEST COASTS. PERSONS
INVOLVED IN OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SHOULD DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS AND
LIMIT ACTIVITY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MIA.