Florida, 2002

Flash Flood in Florida, August 29, 2002

August 29, 2002 · NWS MLB · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 29, 1:15 PM EST, 3 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 29, 1:15 PM EST, 3 hours 23 minutes before
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
215 PM EDT THU AUG 29 2002

CURRENT...88D TIME LAPSE SHOWS CELLULAR CONVECTION CONTINUING TO
SLOWLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE...THOUGH REF VALUES NOT ALL THAT
IMPRESSIVE (20-40DBZ) LIKELY OWING TO SOMEWHAT LOW CAPE VALUES.
HOWEVER...CU BUILDUPS STILL LOOK GOOD AND THINK IT IS JUST A MATTER
OF TIME BEFORE BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS PRODUCE HEAVIER RAINFALL
AMOUNTS LATER TODAY. PLAN TO KEEP FAIRLY HEALTHY (AT LEAST 40-50)
EARLY EVENING POPS OVER THE INTERIOR. THEN FOR LATER TONIGHT...WEAK
H50 PVA COMING UP FROM THE SE SHOULD ENHANCE NOCTURNAL COASTAL SHRA
ACTIVITY. PROBABLY NORTHING MORE THAN 20 AT BEST FOR THE EVENING...
THEN 30 OR PERHAPS 40 POP FOR NOCTURNAL SHRA ALONG THE EAST COAST.

FRI-SUN...LIGHT SE FLOW REGIME CONTINUES AT THE SURFACE WHILE THE
MID-UPPER TROUGH THE EASTERN CONUS FILLS AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATES.
WHATEVER MODEST DRYING THAT WEDNESDAYS GFS WAS HINTING AT IS NOW
NOWHERE TO BE FOUND ON THE 12Z RUN. DRYING ALSO DOESNT SHOW UP IN
THE SOUNDER DERIVED VALUES...WHICH SHOW >50MM (2) ALL THE WAY OUT
TO 75W. AM MORE INCLINED TO KEEP POPS STATUS QUO...50-60 INLAND AND
40-50 COASTAL. WITH 20-30 CHC FOR NOCTURNAL SHRA - HIGHEST CLOSER TO
THE GULF STREAM OVER THE SE CWA.

MON-THU...DLM ATLC RIDGE BUILDS WWD IN THE WAKE OF THE DISSIPATING
ERN CONUS TROUGH. SEEMS REASONABLE TO ASSUME THAT CWA WILL REMAIN
WITHIN THROES OF AN ONSHORE FLOW REGIME. WILL NOT TRY TO DISCERN
EXTENT OF MRH CHANGES THIS FAR OUT...ESP SEEING HOW THE GFS FLIPPED
BACK TO A MORE MOIST SOLN A MERE H24 OUT FROM FRI. WILL WORD AS LATE
NIGHT/MORNING SHRA/EARLY AFTNN SHRA/TSRA ALONG THE COAST...AND AFT
SHRA/TSRA OVER THE INTERIOR.

MARINE...CONTINUATION OF THE ONSHORE FLOW REGIME. PGRAD TIGHTENS A
SCOSH TONIGHT THRU FRI NIGHT...BUT ONLY TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW
15KT. SO DONT ANTICIPATE SEAS ANY HIGHER THAN 4-5 FEET AT THE WORST
FOR A BRIEF PERIOD.

THANKS FOR COORD TBW.

PRELIMINARY CCF...
DAB WW 075/087 075/089 074 353524
MCO TT 074/089 075/090 073 563635
MLB WW 076/087 076/088 075 353524  60=

.MLB...NONE.

PUBLIC/MARINE...CRISTALDI
AVIATION/FIRE WX...PENDERGRAST

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 29, 10:55 AM EST, 5 hours 43 minutes before
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
292100-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1155 AM EDT THU AUG 29 2002

...THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW COMBINED WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND THE AFTERNOON
SEA AND LAKE BREEZES WILL CREATE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR STORMS
TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY
OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS FROM OSCEOLA COUNTY NORTHWARD. A FEW OF THE
STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH AS THEY MOVE OFF
TOWARDS THE NORTH AT 10 MPH.

RAINFALL FROM THUNDERSTORMS MAY ONCE AGAIN EXCEED 3 INCHES IN
LOCALIZED AREAS AS A RESULT OF HIGH LEVELS OF ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE.
DUE TO SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS...THERE EXISTS SOME POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING IN AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED HEAVY RAINS IN RECENT DAYS.
IN ADDITION...ANY THUNDERSTORM MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS OR
POOR DRAINAGE TYPE FLOODING.

THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL REMAIN JUST ABOVE CAUTION STAGE ABOVE
LAKE HARNEY AND AT SANFORD. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY MAY
PRODUCE POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING FOR AREAS NEAR THE RIVER.

FOR THOSE GOING TO THE BEACH...OCEAN SWELLS OF AROUND 2 FEET COMBINED
WITH A DEVELOPING ONSHORE FLOW WILL RESULT IN A GREATER THAN NORMAL
THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS. THE DANGER WILL BE GREATEST THIS AFTERNOON
DURING THE OUTGOING TIDE.

TO VIEW THE GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS PRODUCT...GO TO
WWW.WEATHER.GOV...AND CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

CRISTALDI

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 88 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:39 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Seminole

When
August 29, 4:38 PM EST to 7:30 PM EST
Where
Seminole County, 3 mi S of Oviedo
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
28.717, -81.236 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Thunderstorm rainfall produced widespread flooding of major roadways in Seminole County, mainly south of Oviedo.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, August 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5316919.