Hail in Florida, April 4, 2002

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
230 PM EST THU APR 4 2002

TODAY/TONIGHT...1032 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER BUILDS SOUTH FROM
MIDWEST WITH PGRAD INCREASING OVER PENINSULA BETWEEN THIS HIGH AND
ATLANTIC LOW...WITH WEAK TRAILING FRONT/WIND SHIFT REACHING ACROSS
SOCEN PENINSULA WITH DEW POINT BOUNDARY BACK ACROSS NRN PENINSULA.
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AS IT DRIFTS SOUTH TODAY. NORTHWEST
WINDS EARLY IN THE DAY WILL BECOME N TO NE AS SURGE HIGHER WITH HIGH
BUILDING IN...WILL LEAVE BREEZY MENTION FOR ALL LOCATIONS. AS DRIER
AND MORE STABLE ARE FILTERS IN...PRECIP IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY WITH
THE ONLY POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF THE FAR SOUTH CWA...BUT PROSPECTS TOO
LOW TO WARRANT A ZONE MENTION. SKIES SHOULD AVERAGE PARTLY CLOUDY
BUT WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON EXTENT OF MARINE STRATOCU BY LATER
TODAY WITH FLOW VEERING TO MORE NELY COMPONENT. SEVERAL DEGREES
COOLER TODAY THAN ON THURS FOR ALL AREAS THEN ONSHORE COMPONENT NEAR
THE COAST TONIGHT SHOULD HOLD MINS UP SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER THAN
THE INTERIOR. MESOETA STILL INDICATING ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
ONSHORE FLOW OVERNIGHT INTO SAT TO KEEP A LOW POP MENTION IN FOR
SOUTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS.

SAT-MON...SURFACE HIGH CENTER DRIFTS EAST AND MOVES OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST SUNDAY. HEIGHTS RISE AS H5 RIDGE CRESTS OVER THE
PENINSULA SUNDAY INTO MON. WINDS WILL VEER FROM NE TO ELY SAT INTO
SUNDAY AND SELY MON. PGRAD REMAINS TIGHT ENOUGH THAT WINDY OR BREEZY
MENTION WILL BE CONTINUED FOR ALL ZONES OVER THE WEEKEND. MAY STILL
BE BREEZY NEAR THE COAST MONDAY BUT PGRAD WILL BEGIN TO SLACKEN A
BIT BY THEN. A FEW COASTAL SHOWERS WILL MOVE ONSHORE FLOW DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND MORNING HOURS. ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPS MODERATED
BUT GETTING A LITTLE WARMER EACH DAY.

TUE-THU...CONTINUATION OF WEAKENING PGRAD AND SE-S FLOW DURING THE
MID WEEK. PWAT VALUES CREEPING BACK UP AND MAY HAVE A FEW AFTERNOON
SHOWERS/STORMS MID WEEK OVER THE INTERIOR SECTIONS.

MARINE...NW WINDS 10-15KT AND SEAS 2-3 FT AT BUOY 41009 EARLY THIS
MORNING. NWW3 00Z OUTPUT NOT RAISING SEAS TO 7FT AT THIS LOCATION
UNTIL SATURDAY BUT AS WINDS PICK UP TODAY SEAS IN THE GULF STREAM
SHOULD REACH THIS THRESHOLD. PLAN TO RAISE SCA FOR THE GULF STREAM
WATERS WITH MORNING PACKAGE ISSUANCE AND MAY BE NEEDED FOR ALL OF
THE EC FL WATERS BY TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH TO CONTINUE ADVISORIES OVER THE WEEKEND AND MAY
LINGER INTO MONDAY.

PRELIMINARY CCF...
DAB BB 074/058 073/060 075 0112
MCO BB 079/056 077/055 079 000-
MLB BB 077/062 075/063 077 1222

.MLB...SCA GULF STREAM WATERS FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET.

PUBLIC/MARINE...GLITTO
AVIATION/FIRE WX...GITTINGER