Damaging Wind in Alabama, August 26, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
240 PM CDT MON AUG 26 2002

UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN KENTUCKY WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
RETOGRADE TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS BECOMING
CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY.  UPPER
LOW WILL THEN SHIFT WEST OF THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING
SOUTHERLY FLOW TO INCREASE THROUGH LABOR DAY.

AS EVIDENCED BY THE RADAR THIS AFTERNOON IT IS GOING TO BE DIFFICULT
TO PINPOINT THE BEST AREAS OF CONVECTION AS UPPER LOW PIVOTS TO
THE SOUTHWEST AND WEAK IMPULSES MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.  BELIEVE THE
BEST SOLUTION WILL BE TO GO WITH CHANCE POPS EACH DAY DURING PEAK
HEATING HOURS AND ISOLATED WORDING DURING THE EVENING HOURS AT ALL
LOCATIONS.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS.

HSV 66/87/66/87/66 23231
BHM 67/89/67/89/67 23231
MGM 69/90/68/90/69 13131

.BHM...NONE.

ALZ001>050-262030-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
123 PM CDT MON AUG 26 2002

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL ALABAMA.

COLD AIR ALOFT...WITH WARM AND MOIST AIR NEAR THE SURFACE...WILL
RESULT IN SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA.  THE GREATEST INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON IS SETTING UP
IN NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WHERE THE COLDEST UPPER AIR RESIDES...AND
IN THE VICINITY OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.  SOME STORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG...AND REACH SEVERE CRITERIA THIS AFTERNOON.
GUSTY WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS...AS WELL
AS FREQUENT AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.  ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH A LOWER
THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER EVENTS...
ESPECIALLY IN NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA.

WET MICROBURST POTENTIAL FACTOR:
HUNTSVILLE...4
BIRMINGHAM...3
MONTGOMERY...3