Hail and Damaging Wind in Florida, June 12, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
136 PM EDT TUE JUN 12 2001

REMNANTS OF ALLISON CONTINUE TO TRACK NE TO NC/VA BY THU AS SURFACE
RIDGE OVER S FLA TDA SLOWLY SHIFTS N TO N OF LAKE OKEE BY LATE WED
AND OVER CENTRAL FLA THU. 85H WINDS BECOME SE OVER SE FLA WED BUT SW
TRAJECTORY REMAINS TOWARDS THE LAKE AND PBI ON WED AND LEANING MORE
TOWARD THE W AREAS THU. IN THE EXTENDED FLOW BECOMES MORE SE IN
EARLY PART/LATTER PART OF EXTENDED (SEE BELOW). TEMPS WILL DO A
MINOR FLIP -FLOP AS PREVAILING SE FLOW COOLS SE COAST DOWN A LITTLE
BY THU WITH W WARMING (AGAIN IN EXTENDED ANOTHER FLIP-FLOP OCCURS).
DOES LITTLE WED AND THU THOUGH TO ELIMINATE HUMID CONDITIONS AS
DEWPOINTS HOVER AROUND 75. HEAT INDICES IN LOWER 100S NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS WELL.

IN THE COASTAL ZONES A GRADUALLY BACKING OF WINDS, BUT WITH
AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES STILL PREVAILING, OCCURS THROUGH SAT WITH NO
HIGHLIGHTS. WINDS VARIABLE TO SW SUN AS FRONTAL SURFACE NEARS S FLA.

IN THE EXTENDED, REMNANTS ALLISON OVER DELMARVA PENINSULA FRI WITH
STRONG SURFACE RIDGE OVER N CENTRAL FLA. ON SAT ALLISON CONTINUES TO
MOVE NE MERGING WITH COLD FRONT DIVING INTO NEW ENGLAND AS LONG WAVE
TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER ATLC AS S END OF FRONTAL SYSTEM NEARS N FLA AND
UPPER RIDGE RETROGRADES AND BUILDS OVER THE S GREAT PLAINS. FRONTAL
SURFACE MOVES TO CENTRAL FLA SUN WITH S FLA IN COL AREA ALOFT OVER
AT 70H/50H LEVELS. SE SURFACE FLOW VEERS TO WESTERLY SUN THEN RIDGE
REBUILDS OVER THE SE U.S. MON AND TUE A SE FLOW DEVELOPS AGAIN. LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS HIGH WITH DIURNAL CONVECTION INTERIOR AND W
FRI AND SAT WITH NOCTURNAL E, REVERSING SUN, THEN SHIFTING BACK MON
AND TUE. EXTENDED REQUIRES SCATTERED POPS ALL PERIODS BUT SAT AND
ESPECIALLY SUN LOOK MOST VULNERABLE FOR THE HIGHEST POPS WITH
NEARNESS OF FRONTAL SURFACE.

MIA BB 078/092 078/091 079 1524232
PBI BB 075/091 076/090 07|7 1533222=

.MIA...NONE.