Storms of 2022

G2 (Moderate) Geomagnetic Storm of October 3, 2022

October 3, 2022 · 3 hours

A G2 (moderate) geomagnetic storm began October 3, 2022, reached Kp 6- and lasted 3 hours, with a daily Ap as high as 24; at that Kp the aurora may be seen from about 57 degrees geomagnetic latitude.

The Kp through the storm

Began Oct 3, 18:00 UTC, peaked in the block from Oct 3, 18:00 UTC, ended Oct 3, 21:00 UTC.

From 00 UT the day before to the end of the day after. Blocks in the storm are colored by level; the rest are gray.

The storm

Peak Kp
6- (5.67)
NOAA level
G2 Moderate
Duration
3 hours
Highest daily Ap
24
Highest 3-hour ap
67
Rank since 1932
2,136 of 4,139

How far south the aurora could have been seen

At Kp 6- NOAA’s scales put the aurora’s reach at about 57 degrees geomagnetic latitude: 48°N in the central US, 47°N in the eastern US, 51°N in the western US and 57°N in northern Europe.

NOAA says a G2 storm’s aurora has been seen as low as New York and Idaho.

US cities within reach, the southernmost first

  • Anchorage, AK 61.9° geomag.

1 US cities of 150,000 people or more sit at or poleward of that line. Low on the northern horizon under a dark, clear sky; not a record of sightings.

Tonight’s aurora forecast

Day by day

The daily Ap is the mean of the day’s eight three-hour ap values.

UT dayDaily ApHighest Kp that day
October 3, 2022246-

Flares before it

Peak (UTC)ClassRegionBefore the storm began
Oct 2, 20:25 UTCX1.0NOAA 311022 hours
Oct 2, 02:21 UTCM8.7NOAA 311040 hours
Oct 1, 20:10 UTCM5.8NOAA 311046 hours
Oct 3, 10:11 UTCM4.2NOAA 31108 hours
Sep 30, 16:22 UTCM2.9NOAA 311274 hours
Oct 3, 02:33 UTCM2.6NOAA 311215 hours

The strongest M and X class flares GOES recorded from four days before the storm began to its end, the window in which a coronal mass ejection launched with a flare usually arrives. A flare in this list is context, not proof of the cause: many storms come from coronal holes, and many flares launch nothing toward Earth.

More

The storm before, Sep 27The storm after, Oct 22Every storm of 2022The strongest on recordThis day in weather historyTonight’s aurora forecast

Sources

Kp and ap from GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Geomagnetic Observatory Niemegk, licensed CC BY 4.0: Matzka, J., Stolle, C., Yamazaki, Y., Bronkalla, O. and Morschhauser, A., 2021, The geomagnetic Kp index and derived indices of geomagnetic activity, Space Weather, doi:10.1029/2020SW002641; data doi:10.5880/Kp.0001. Storms, levels and aurora reach worked out by WeatherOverTime from those values and NOAA’s space weather scales. Definitive through August 31, 2026; later values are preliminary. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Flares from NOAA NCEI’s GOES X-ray flare reports (1975 to 2017) and SWPC’s edited solar event lists, public domain; classes as NOAA recorded them at the time.