Storms of 2015

G4 (Severe) Geomagnetic Storm of March 17, 2015

March 17 to 18, 2015 · 36 hours

A G4 (severe) geomagnetic storm began March 17, 2015, reached Kp 8- and lasted 36 hours, with a daily Ap as high as 108; at that Kp the aurora may be seen from about 47 degrees geomagnetic latitude.

The Kp through the storm

Began Mar 17, 06:00 UTC, peaked in the block from Mar 17, 12:00 UTC, ended Mar 18, 18:00 UTC.

From 00 UT the day before to the end of the day after. Blocks in the storm are colored by level; the rest are gray.

The storm

Peak Kp
8- (7.67)
NOAA level
G4 Severe
Duration
36 hours
Highest daily Ap
108
Highest 3-hour ap
179
Rank since 1932
217 of 4,139

How far south the aurora could have been seen

At Kp 8- NOAA’s scales put the aurora’s reach at about 47 degrees geomagnetic latitude: 38°N in the central US, 37°N in the eastern US, 41°N in the western US and 47°N in northern Europe.

NOAA says a G4 storm’s aurora has been seen as low as Alabama and northern California.

US cities within reach, the southernmost first

  • Richmond, VA 46.7° geomag.
  • Lexington, KY 47.0° geomag.
  • Lexington-Fayette, KY 47.0° geomag.
  • Louisville, KY 47.2° geomag.
  • Lakewood, CO 47.3° geomag.
  • Denver, CO 47.3° geomag.
  • Aurora, CO 47.3° geomag.
  • St. Louis, MO 47.3° geomag.
  • Overland Park, KS 47.4° geomag.
  • Meads, KY 47.5° geomag.

71 US cities of 150,000 people or more sit at or poleward of that line. Low on the northern horizon under a dark, clear sky; not a record of sightings.

Tonight’s aurora forecast

Day by day

The daily Ap is the mean of the day’s eight three-hour ap values.

UT dayDaily ApHighest Kp that day
March 17, 20151088-
March 18, 2015476

Flares before it

Peak (UTC)ClassRegionBefore the storm began
Mar 13, 06:07 UTCM1.896 hours
Mar 16, 10:58 UTCM1.6NOAA 1229719 hours
Mar 14, 04:40 UTCM1.4NOAA 1229773 hours
Mar 15, 23:22 UTCM1.231 hours
Mar 17, 23:34 UTCM1.0NOAA 12302during it

The strongest M and X class flares GOES recorded from four days before the storm began to its end, the window in which a coronal mass ejection launched with a flare usually arrives. A flare in this list is context, not proof of the cause: many storms come from coronal holes, and many flares launch nothing toward Earth.

More

The storm before, Mar 2The storm after, Mar 19Every storm of 2015The strongest on recordThis day in weather historyTonight’s aurora forecast

Sources

Kp and ap from GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Geomagnetic Observatory Niemegk, licensed CC BY 4.0: Matzka, J., Stolle, C., Yamazaki, Y., Bronkalla, O. and Morschhauser, A., 2021, The geomagnetic Kp index and derived indices of geomagnetic activity, Space Weather, doi:10.1029/2020SW002641; data doi:10.5880/Kp.0001. Storms, levels and aurora reach worked out by WeatherOverTime from those values and NOAA’s space weather scales. Definitive through August 31, 2026; later values are preliminary. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Flares from NOAA NCEI’s GOES X-ray flare reports (1975 to 2017) and SWPC’s edited solar event lists, public domain; classes as NOAA recorded them at the time.