Esentepe, Turkey

1. Sat1 AM54°3 mph
2. 2 AM54°2 mph
3. 3 AM54°2 mph
4. 4 AM54°3 mph
5. 5 AM54°3 mph
6. 6 AM54°3 mph
7. 7 AM54°3 mph
8. 8 AM55°3 mph
9. 9 AM56°4 mph
10. 10 AM56°5 mph
11. 11 AM58°6 mph
12. 12 PM61°6 mph
13. 1 PM62°6 mph
14. 2 PM62°6 mph
15. 3 PM63°7 mph
16. 4 PM62°9 mph
17. 5 PM60°9 mph
18. 6 PM58°7 mph
19. 7 PM57°6 mph
20. 8 PM57°6 mph
21. 9 PM56°6 mph
22. 10 PM56°6 mph
23. 11 PM56°5 mph
24. Sun12 AM56°4 mph
25. 1 AM56°4 mph
26. 2 AM55°4 mph
27. 3 AM55°4 mph
28. 4 AM55°4 mph
29. 5 AM55°4 mph
30. 6 AM55°4 mph
31. 7 AM55°4 mph
32. 8 AM56°5 mph
33. 9 AM56°5 mph
34. 10 AM57°5 mph
35. 11 AM59°6 mph
36. 12 PM60°6 mph
37. 1 PM61°7 mph
38. 2 PM60°6 mph
39. 3 PM60°7 mph
40. 4 PM60°9 mph
41. 5 PM59°8 mph
42. 6 PM58°7 mph
43. 7 PM57°6 mph
44. 8 PM57°5 mph
45. 9 PM56°5 mph
46. 10 PM56°4 mph
47. 11 PM55°4 mph
48. Mon12 AM55°3 mph

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

1. TodaySep 2663°54°Light rain—0.05 inwind 9 mph
2. SunSep 2761°53°Light rain—0.06 inwind 9 mph
3. MonSep 2861°53°Heavy rain—0.20 inwind 4 mph
4. TueSep 2968°53°Mostly clear—0.03 inwind 6 mph
5. WedSep 3060°56°Rain showers—0.11 inwind 7 mph
6. ThuOct 162°57°Rain—0.27 inwind 8 mph
7. FriOct 270°57°Partly cloudy—0.04 inwind 5 mph
8. SatOct 361°51°Rain showers—0.27 inwind 3 mph
9. SunOct 468°52°Rain showers—0.09 inwind 7 mph
10. MonOct 5~62°44°Model mean
11. TueOct 6~55°48°Model mean0.04 in
12. WedOct 7~58°46°Model mean0.10 in
13. ThuOct 8~62°48°Model mean0.10 in
14. FriOct 9~55°47°Model mean0.25 in
15. SatOct 10~63°46°Model mean
16. SunOct 11~60°43°Model mean

• Feels like54°
• WindNE 3 mph
• Humidity100%
• Dew point54°
• Pressure30.15 inHg
• UV index0 · Lowclear-sky peak 6 today
• Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
• Moonrise6:07 PMMoonset 5:58 AM
• Moon phaseFull moon100% lit

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

NWS gridGFSGEFS ± spreadECMWFECMWF AI

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

10 daysTemperature plume

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture; seeing is not rated. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

• Sat 1 PM to 5 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
• Tue 3 PM to 9 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
• Fri 3 PM to 9 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
• Sun 3 PM to 9 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules

Good Marginal No

Field days

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

1. Tonight54° · NNE 2–3 mph

   Fog. Low near 12°C. Northnortheast wind 4 to 5 km/h.

2. Saturday63° · NE 3–9 mph

   Light rain. High near 17°C. Northeast wind 5 to 14 km/h. Precipitation around 1.1 mm.

3. Saturday Night55° · NE 4–7 mph

   Light rain. Low near 13°C. Northeast wind 6 to 12 km/h.

4. Sunday61° · NE 4–9 mph

   Light rain. High near 16°C. Northeast wind 7 to 14 km/h. Precipitation around 1.5 mm.

5. Sunday Night53° · NE 2–7 mph

   Light rain. Low near 12°C. Northeast wind 4 to 12 km/h.

6. Monday61° · ENE 2–3 mph

   Heavy rain. High near 16°C. Eastnortheast wind 4 to 5 km/h. Precipitation around 5 mm.

7. Monday Night53° · SW 4–6 mph

   Partly cloudy. Low near 12°C. Southwest wind 7 to 10 km/h.

8. Tuesday68° · W 3–4 mph

   Mostly clear. High near 20°C. West wind 5 to 6 km/h. Precipitation around 0.6 mm.

9. Tuesday Night53° · ESE 2–4 mph

   Cloudy. Low near 12°C. Eastsoutheast wind 3 to 6 km/h.

10. Wednesday60° · ENE 3–7 mph

    Rain showers. High near 16°C. Eastnortheast wind 5 to 11 km/h. Precipitation around 3 mm.

11. Wednesday Night56° · NE 2–4 mph

    Rain. Low near 13°C. Northeast wind 4 to 7 km/h. Precipitation around 1.9 mm.

12. Thursday62° · NE 6–8 mph

    Rain. High near 17°C. Northeast wind 9 to 13 km/h. Precipitation around 5 mm.

13. Thursday Night57° · NE 2–4 mph

    Cloudy. Low near 14°C. Northeast wind 3 to 7 km/h.

14. Friday70° · E 2–5 mph

    Partly cloudy. High near 21°C. East wind 4 to 8 km/h. Precipitation around 0.7 mm.

15. Friday Night57° · W 1–1 mph

    Cloudy. Low near 14°C. West wind 1 to 2 km/h. Precipitation around 0.5 mm.

16. Saturday61° · WSW 1–3 mph

    Rain showers. High near 16°C. Westsouthwest wind 1 to 5 km/h. Precipitation around 7 mm.

17. Saturday Night51° · S 2 mph

    Partly cloudy. Low near 11°C. South wind around 3 km/h.

18. Sunday68° · SW 2–7 mph

    Rain showers. High near 20°C. Southwest wind 4 to 11 km/h. Precipitation around 2 mm.

19. Sunday Night52° · SSW 1–2 mph

    Partly cloudy. Low near 11°C. Southsouthwest wind 2 to 4 km/h.

Climate of Esentepe: normals, records and every month

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.