Upton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Upton. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 20 and the first fall freeze around September 23, a growing season of about 123 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 1, first September 13
- Median at 32°F
- last May 20, first September 23
- Median at 28°F
- last May 9, first October 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 20 | Jun 14 | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 26 | May 23 | May 19 |
| 32°F | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 27 | May 23 | May 20 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 8 |
| 28°F | May 24 | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 26 |
| 24°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
| 20°F | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 |
| 16°F | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 30 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 |
| 32°F | Sep 7 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 |
| 28°F | Sep 16 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 |
| 24°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 |
| 20°F | Oct 3 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 |
| 16°F | Oct 12 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 121 | 115 | 110 | 105 | 101 | 97 | 92 | 86 | 77 |
| 32°F | 144 | 136 | 132 | 127 | 123 | 119 | 114 | 108 | 100 |
| 28°F | 165 | 158 | 153 | 149 | 145 | 141 | 136 | 130 | 120 |
| 24°F | 186 | 180 | 175 | 170 | 166 | 162 | 158 | 153 | 144 |
| 20°F | 207 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 182 | 177 | 171 | 164 |
| 16°F | 230 | 222 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 201 | 196 | 189 | 182 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,875
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 528
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,085
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,100
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,258
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,549
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 973
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,364 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,165 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 947 | 0 | 6 |
| April | 668 | 0 | 31 |
| May | 394 | 5 | 152 |
| June | 122 | 68 | 401 |
| July | 16 | 227 | 676 |
| August | 34 | 184 | 616 |
| September | 206 | 43 | 311 |
| October | 614 | 1 | 62 |
| November | 1,005 | 0 | 4 |
| December | 1,341 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.5 km from Upton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00489205 (Upton). Public domain.