Sundance Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Sundance. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 21 and the first fall freeze around September 25, a growing season of about 124 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 1, first September 16
- Median at 32°F
- last May 21, first September 25
- Median at 28°F
- last May 9, first October 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 24 | Jun 15 | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 27 | May 24 | May 20 |
| 32°F | Jun 5 | May 30 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 |
| 28°F | May 23 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 |
| 24°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 20°F | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 |
| 16°F | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 16 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 29 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 |
| 32°F | Sep 7 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 |
| 28°F | Sep 18 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 19 |
| 24°F | Sep 27 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 |
| 20°F | Oct 4 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 |
| 16°F | Oct 11 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 122 | 115 | 110 | 106 | 101 | 96 | 91 | 85 | 74 |
| 32°F | 144 | 137 | 132 | 128 | 124 | 120 | 114 | 109 | 101 |
| 28°F | 165 | 158 | 154 | 150 | 145 | 142 | 137 | 131 | 123 |
| 24°F | 187 | 180 | 175 | 170 | 166 | 162 | 157 | 152 | 144 |
| 20°F | 208 | 200 | 195 | 190 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 171 | 163 |
| 16°F | 232 | 224 | 217 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 191 | 182 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,038
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 362
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,722
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,770
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,959
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,284
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 747
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,304 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,151 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 986 | 0 | 6 |
| April | 729 | 0 | 24 |
| May | 442 | 5 | 131 |
| June | 165 | 44 | 338 |
| July | 40 | 156 | 581 |
| August | 54 | 125 | 538 |
| September | 238 | 31 | 277 |
| October | 646 | 1 | 60 |
| November | 986 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 1,299 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.7 km from Sundance. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00488705 (Sundance). Public domain.