Newcastle Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Newcastle. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 13 and the first fall freeze around October 3, a growing season of about 143 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 23, first September 24
- Median at 32°F
- last May 13, first October 3
- Median at 28°F
- last May 1, first October 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 7 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 27 | May 23 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 11 |
| 32°F | May 26 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 |
| 28°F | May 17 | May 12 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 16 |
| 24°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 3 |
| 20°F | Apr 26 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 |
| 16°F | Apr 16 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 9 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 |
| 32°F | Sep 17 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 |
| 28°F | Sep 27 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 |
| 24°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 |
| 20°F | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 16°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 141 | 135 | 129 | 126 | 122 | 117 | 113 | 108 | 99 |
| 32°F | 161 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 134 | 130 | 123 |
| 28°F | 182 | 175 | 170 | 166 | 162 | 159 | 153 | 148 | 141 |
| 24°F | 203 | 196 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 168 | 161 |
| 20°F | 226 | 218 | 212 | 207 | 203 | 198 | 193 | 187 | 180 |
| 16°F | 248 | 239 | 232 | 226 | 221 | 216 | 210 | 203 | 195 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,130
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 711
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,589
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,544
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,641
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,870
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,226
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,259 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,067 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 871 | 0 | 13 |
| April | 597 | 1 | 59 |
| May | 334 | 18 | 210 |
| June | 92 | 101 | 463 |
| July | 13 | 273 | 725 |
| August | 23 | 241 | 684 |
| September | 163 | 75 | 381 |
| October | 555 | 3 | 94 |
| November | 912 | 0 | 10 |
| December | 1,246 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.4 km from Newcastle. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00486660 (Newcastle). Public domain.