Mills Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Casper Natrona CO AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 26 and the first fall freeze around September 22, a growing season of about 117 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 9, first September 9
- Median at 32°F
- last May 26, first September 22
- Median at 28°F
- last May 11, first October 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 25 | Jun 20 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 9 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 25 |
| 32°F | Jun 10 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 17 | May 12 |
| 28°F | May 27 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | Apr 30 |
| 24°F | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 |
| 20°F | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 |
| 16°F | Apr 23 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 26 | Sep 1 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 24 |
| 32°F | Sep 5 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 |
| 28°F | Sep 17 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 |
| 20°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 16°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 112 | 105 | 101 | 96 | 92 | 88 | 84 | 79 | 69 |
| 32°F | 136 | 130 | 125 | 121 | 117 | 113 | 109 | 103 | 96 |
| 28°F | 161 | 155 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 137 | 133 | 128 | 120 |
| 24°F | 183 | 177 | 172 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 152 | 146 |
| 20°F | 206 | 199 | 194 | 189 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 174 | 168 |
| 16°F | 229 | 221 | 215 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 196 | 190 | 185 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,486
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 443
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,015
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,006
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,156
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,450
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 877
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,237 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,075 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 907 | 0 | 7 |
| April | 683 | 0 | 25 |
| May | 409 | 4 | 140 |
| June | 126 | 51 | 380 |
| July | 14 | 200 | 651 |
| August | 31 | 157 | 591 |
| September | 214 | 31 | 293 |
| October | 611 | 1 | 61 |
| November | 932 | 0 | 8 |
| December | 1,248 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.1 km from Mills. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00024089 (Casper Natrona CO AP). Public domain.