Dayton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Dayton. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 24 and the first fall freeze around September 18, a growing season of about 114 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 7, first September 7
- Median at 32°F
- last May 24, first September 18
- Median at 28°F
- last May 9, first September 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 22 | Jun 17 | Jun 14 | Jun 10 | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 24 |
| 32°F | Jun 7 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 26 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 11 |
| 28°F | May 23 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 28 |
| 24°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 11 |
| 20°F | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 16°F | Apr 23 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 15 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 23 | Aug 29 | Sep 1 | Sep 4 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 21 |
| 32°F | Sep 2 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Oct 2 |
| 28°F | Sep 13 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 15 |
| 24°F | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 |
| 20°F | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 16°F | Oct 11 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 109 | 103 | 98 | 93 | 89 | 85 | 81 | 76 | 68 |
| 32°F | 135 | 128 | 123 | 119 | 114 | 109 | 105 | 99 | 92 |
| 28°F | 162 | 155 | 148 | 145 | 140 | 137 | 132 | 127 | 119 |
| 24°F | 188 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 161 | 156 | 151 | 143 |
| 20°F | 209 | 202 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 182 | 178 | 172 | 164 |
| 16°F | 230 | 222 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 196 | 191 | 182 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,972
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 294
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,652
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,671
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,854
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,187
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 662
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,300 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,119 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 977 | 0 | 6 |
| April | 689 | 0 | 26 |
| May | 427 | 4 | 121 |
| June | 170 | 21 | 310 |
| July | 31 | 130 | 564 |
| August | 56 | 118 | 528 |
| September | 266 | 19 | 240 |
| October | 637 | 2 | 55 |
| November | 993 | 0 | 4 |
| December | 1,306 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.2 km from Dayton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00482399 (Dayton). Public domain.