Bear River Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Evanston Burns Fld. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 3 and the first fall freeze around September 25, a growing season of about 113 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 13, first September 16
- Median at 32°F
- last June 3, first September 25
- Median at 28°F
- last May 17, first October 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 24 | Jun 21 | Jun 18 | Jun 15 | Jun 13 | Jun 11 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | May 31 |
| 32°F | Jun 17 | Jun 13 | Jun 9 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 27 | May 21 | May 16 |
| 28°F | Jun 6 | Jun 1 | May 25 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 5 | Apr 29 |
| 24°F | May 20 | May 13 | May 8 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
| 20°F | May 9 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 2 |
| 16°F | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 | Mar 16 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 1 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 16 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 |
| 32°F | Sep 11 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 8 |
| 28°F | Sep 19 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 21 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 |
| 20°F | Oct 10 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 16°F | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 110 | 105 | 100 | 95 | 92 | 89 | 85 | 82 | 75 |
| 32°F | 135 | 128 | 122 | 118 | 113 | 109 | 105 | 100 | 92 |
| 28°F | 161 | 154 | 148 | 143 | 138 | 133 | 128 | 123 | 113 |
| 24°F | 188 | 181 | 175 | 170 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 149 | 137 |
| 20°F | 213 | 205 | 198 | 193 | 189 | 184 | 179 | 173 | 164 |
| 16°F | 238 | 229 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 208 | 202 | 195 | 187 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,428
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 204
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,312
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,415
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,663
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,043
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 549
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,342 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,172 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,043 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 777 | 0 | 9 |
| May | 506 | 1 | 88 |
| June | 224 | 17 | 268 |
| July | 30 | 106 | 541 |
| August | 54 | 73 | 485 |
| September | 268 | 8 | 231 |
| October | 654 | 0 | 39 |
| November | 1,017 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,341 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.3 km from Bear River. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00004111 (Evanston Burns Fld). Public domain.