Thorp Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Stanley Wwtp. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 7 and the first fall freeze around October 3, a growing season of about 147 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 18, first September 25
- Median at 32°F
- last May 7, first October 3
- Median at 28°F
- last April 26, first October 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 2 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 |
| 32°F | May 21 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 |
| 28°F | May 10 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 |
| 24°F | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 |
| 20°F | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 |
| 16°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 13 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 11 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 |
| 32°F | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 |
| 28°F | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 24°F | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 20°F | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 147 | 140 | 136 | 132 | 127 | 124 | 119 | 115 | 108 |
| 32°F | 168 | 161 | 156 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 134 | 127 |
| 28°F | 191 | 183 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 160 | 155 | 149 |
| 24°F | 213 | 207 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 184 | 180 | 172 |
| 20°F | 235 | 227 | 221 | 217 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 193 |
| 16°F | 251 | 244 | 239 | 235 | 231 | 227 | 222 | 217 | 211 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,298
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 442
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,117
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,139
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,274
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,525
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 908
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,618 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,344 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,096 | 0 | 5 |
| April | 651 | 1 | 46 |
| May | 300 | 20 | 225 |
| June | 77 | 96 | 470 |
| July | 23 | 164 | 606 |
| August | 39 | 119 | 546 |
| September | 207 | 39 | 299 |
| October | 576 | 4 | 73 |
| November | 965 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 1,404 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10 km from Thorp. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00478110 (Stanley Wwtp). Public domain.