Sylvan Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Gays Mills. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 3 and the first fall freeze around October 7, a growing season of about 156 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 13, first September 29
- Median at 32°F
- last May 3, first October 7
- Median at 28°F
- last April 24, first October 18
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 28 | May 23 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 |
| 32°F | May 18 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 19 |
| 28°F | May 9 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 24°F | Apr 30 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 20°F | Apr 18 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 |
| 16°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 |
| 32°F | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 |
| 28°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 |
| 24°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 20°F | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 16°F | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 155 | 149 | 145 | 143 | 139 | 135 | 131 | 126 | 121 |
| 32°F | 175 | 169 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 149 | 144 | 137 |
| 28°F | 195 | 187 | 182 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 156 |
| 24°F | 218 | 211 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 187 | 182 | 175 |
| 20°F | 243 | 235 | 229 | 225 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 206 | 196 |
| 16°F | 262 | 255 | 249 | 245 | 240 | 236 | 232 | 226 | 218 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,333
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 645
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,678
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,624
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,694
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,885
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,195
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,483 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,218 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 959 | 1 | 14 |
| April | 561 | 3 | 70 |
| May | 248 | 33 | 273 |
| June | 42 | 138 | 546 |
| July | 9 | 227 | 684 |
| August | 17 | 178 | 626 |
| September | 149 | 60 | 369 |
| October | 498 | 5 | 101 |
| November | 876 | 0 | 11 |
| December | 1,274 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 21.5 km from Sylvan. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00473022 (Gays Mills). Public domain.