Phillips Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Prentice #2. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 23 and the first fall freeze around September 23, a growing season of about 124 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 2, first September 10
- Median at 32°F
- last May 23, first September 23
- Median at 28°F
- last May 9, first October 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 22 | Jun 14 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 29 | May 25 | May 20 |
| 32°F | Jun 6 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 19 | May 16 | May 12 | May 6 |
| 28°F | May 24 | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 |
| 24°F | May 13 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 |
| 20°F | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 |
| 16°F | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 23 | Aug 31 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 25 |
| 32°F | Sep 5 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 |
| 28°F | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 18 |
| 24°F | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 |
| 20°F | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
| 16°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 120 | 113 | 108 | 103 | 98 | 93 | 88 | 81 | 70 |
| 32°F | 144 | 137 | 132 | 128 | 124 | 119 | 115 | 109 | 102 |
| 28°F | 167 | 160 | 155 | 150 | 146 | 142 | 136 | 132 | 125 |
| 24°F | 193 | 184 | 178 | 174 | 169 | 165 | 159 | 154 | 144 |
| 20°F | 213 | 206 | 201 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 177 | 169 |
| 16°F | 232 | 225 | 220 | 216 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 197 | 191 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,082
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 269
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,574
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,651
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,848
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,169
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 637
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,678 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,410 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,187 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 734 | 1 | 31 |
| May | 374 | 14 | 175 |
| June | 124 | 59 | 389 |
| July | 54 | 100 | 512 |
| August | 82 | 70 | 453 |
| September | 270 | 24 | 233 |
| October | 651 | 1 | 49 |
| November | 1,044 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,474 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.6 km from Phillips. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00476859 (Prentice #2). Public domain.