Mellen Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mellen 4 Ne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 26 and the first fall freeze around September 27, a growing season of about 125 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 5, first September 18
- Median at 32°F
- last May 26, first September 27
- Median at 28°F
- last May 12, first October 6
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 20 | Jun 14 | Jun 11 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 29 | May 24 |
| 32°F | Jun 9 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 15 | May 8 |
| 28°F | May 29 | May 24 | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 |
| 24°F | May 16 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
| 20°F | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 16°F | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 2 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 |
| 32°F | Sep 12 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 |
| 28°F | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 23 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 |
| 20°F | Oct 13 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 16°F | Oct 25 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 121 | 115 | 111 | 107 | 103 | 98 | 94 | 89 | 82 |
| 32°F | 149 | 140 | 134 | 130 | 125 | 121 | 117 | 113 | 106 |
| 28°F | 170 | 163 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 144 | 139 | 134 | 125 |
| 24°F | 192 | 186 | 181 | 176 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 156 | 149 |
| 20°F | 212 | 206 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 178 | 170 |
| 16°F | 231 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 197 | 190 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,186
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 265
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,454
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,561
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,787
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,135
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 619
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,661 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,394 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,202 | 0 | 4 |
| April | 788 | 1 | 25 |
| May | 418 | 15 | 155 |
| June | 160 | 51 | 350 |
| July | 63 | 101 | 504 |
| August | 86 | 72 | 452 |
| September | 265 | 24 | 242 |
| October | 657 | 2 | 52 |
| November | 1,044 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,449 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5 km from Mellen. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00475286 (Mellen 4 Ne). Public domain.