Marshfield Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Marshfield Exp Farm. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 5 and the first fall freeze around October 5, a growing season of about 150 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 15, first September 26
- Median at 32°F
- last May 5, first October 5
- Median at 28°F
- last April 25, first October 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 30 | May 25 | May 22 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 |
| 32°F | May 20 | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 |
| 28°F | May 10 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 24°F | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 20°F | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 |
| 16°F | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 12 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 |
| 32°F | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 24°F | Oct 13 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
| 20°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 |
| 16°F | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 150 | 144 | 138 | 135 | 131 | 128 | 123 | 119 | 111 |
| 32°F | 169 | 163 | 157 | 153 | 150 | 147 | 143 | 138 | 132 |
| 28°F | 194 | 187 | 182 | 178 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 160 | 153 |
| 24°F | 218 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 184 | 175 |
| 20°F | 239 | 231 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 215 | 211 | 206 | 198 |
| 16°F | 255 | 249 | 243 | 238 | 234 | 230 | 226 | 221 | 214 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,203
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 423
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,099
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,118
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,256
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,512
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 894
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,572 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,322 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,088 | 0 | 7 |
| April | 661 | 1 | 39 |
| May | 309 | 20 | 219 |
| June | 74 | 89 | 466 |
| July | 17 | 162 | 609 |
| August | 37 | 115 | 542 |
| September | 204 | 35 | 297 |
| October | 570 | 3 | 71 |
| November | 965 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 1,386 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.4 km from Marshfield. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00475120 (Marshfield Exp Farm). Public domain.