Madison Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Charmany Farm. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 28 and the first fall freeze around October 15, a growing season of about 169 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 7, first October 4
- Median at 32°F
- last April 28, first October 15
- Median at 28°F
- last April 17, first October 25
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 |
| 20°F | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 |
| 16°F | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
| 32°F | Sep 29 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 28°F | Oct 10 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 |
| 24°F | Oct 21 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 |
| 20°F | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 |
| 16°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 168 | 161 | 156 | 152 | 149 | 145 | 141 | 136 | 130 |
| 32°F | 190 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 164 | 160 | 155 | 149 |
| 28°F | 209 | 203 | 198 | 193 | 190 | 185 | 182 | 177 | 169 |
| 24°F | 231 | 224 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 207 | 203 | 198 | 191 |
| 20°F | 250 | 242 | 238 | 233 | 229 | 225 | 221 | 216 | 208 |
| 16°F | 268 | 259 | 254 | 250 | 247 | 241 | 236 | 232 | 225 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,360
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 614
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,619
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,572
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,645
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,840
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,159
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,455 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,211 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 990 | 1 | 14 |
| April | 585 | 2 | 61 |
| May | 260 | 31 | 263 |
| June | 49 | 131 | 533 |
| July | 9 | 216 | 673 |
| August | 20 | 169 | 614 |
| September | 149 | 59 | 369 |
| October | 486 | 6 | 108 |
| November | 876 | 0 | 10 |
| December | 1,269 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.7 km from Madison. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00471416 (Charmany Farm). Public domain.