El Paso Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Ellsworth 1E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 13 and the first fall freeze around September 29, a growing season of about 139 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 23, first September 20
- Median at 32°F
- last May 13, first September 29
- Median at 28°F
- last May 2, first October 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 28 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 | May 8 |
| 32°F | May 27 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 29 |
| 28°F | May 17 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 |
| 24°F | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 20°F | Apr 26 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 |
| 16°F | Apr 17 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 6 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 |
| 32°F | Sep 15 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 |
| 28°F | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 |
| 24°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 20°F | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 16°F | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 140 | 133 | 129 | 125 | 122 | 118 | 113 | 108 | 101 |
| 32°F | 159 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 136 | 132 | 126 | 121 |
| 28°F | 176 | 171 | 166 | 162 | 159 | 154 | 150 | 144 | 139 |
| 24°F | 198 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 170 | 165 | 158 |
| 20°F | 217 | 212 | 206 | 202 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 179 |
| 16°F | 235 | 229 | 224 | 220 | 217 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 198 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,581
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 347
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,921
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,956
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,109
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,381
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 781
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,648 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,362 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,119 | 0 | 6 |
| April | 676 | 1 | 39 |
| May | 334 | 16 | 196 |
| June | 86 | 71 | 436 |
| July | 29 | 134 | 570 |
| August | 51 | 90 | 504 |
| September | 213 | 32 | 288 |
| October | 598 | 3 | 65 |
| November | 1,017 | 0 | 4 |
| December | 1,448 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.1 km from El Paso. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00472556 (Ellsworth 1E). Public domain.