Cornell Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Holcombe. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 5 and the first fall freeze around October 2, a growing season of about 149 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 18, first September 24
- Median at 32°F
- last May 5, first October 2
- Median at 28°F
- last April 24, first October 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 |
| 32°F | May 21 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 |
| 28°F | May 9 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 |
| 24°F | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 |
| 20°F | Apr 19 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 |
| 16°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 |
| 32°F | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
| 28°F | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 |
| 24°F | Oct 8 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 20°F | Oct 22 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 |
| 16°F | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 147 | 141 | 137 | 133 | 129 | 125 | 122 | 117 | 110 |
| 32°F | 169 | 162 | 158 | 153 | 149 | 145 | 140 | 135 | 128 |
| 28°F | 195 | 188 | 182 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 163 | 157 | 149 |
| 24°F | 215 | 209 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 187 | 181 | 174 |
| 20°F | 235 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 195 |
| 16°F | 250 | 243 | 238 | 234 | 229 | 225 | 221 | 217 | 211 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,453
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 376
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,976
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,005
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,152
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,420
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 820
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,634 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,357 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,125 | 0 | 6 |
| April | 663 | 0 | 38 |
| May | 314 | 15 | 206 |
| June | 84 | 75 | 442 |
| July | 21 | 150 | 594 |
| August | 44 | 103 | 524 |
| September | 219 | 31 | 281 |
| October | 593 | 2 | 58 |
| November | 995 | 0 | 4 |
| December | 1,406 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.5 km from Cornell. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00473698 (Holcombe). Public domain.