Coleman Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Oconto 4 W. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 9 and the first fall freeze around October 6, a growing season of about 150 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 20, first September 26
- Median at 32°F
- last May 9, first October 6
- Median at 28°F
- last April 28, first October 17
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 18 | May 14 | May 10 | May 5 |
| 32°F | May 23 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 28°F | May 14 | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 |
| 24°F | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 20°F | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 |
| 16°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 |
| 32°F | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 24°F | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 15 |
| 20°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 |
| 16°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 148 | 141 | 136 | 132 | 129 | 125 | 121 | 117 | 109 |
| 32°F | 170 | 163 | 158 | 154 | 150 | 146 | 142 | 137 | 130 |
| 28°F | 194 | 187 | 182 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 165 | 160 | 152 |
| 24°F | 221 | 213 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 191 | 185 | 178 |
| 20°F | 242 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 207 | 201 |
| 16°F | 260 | 254 | 249 | 244 | 240 | 235 | 231 | 226 | 219 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,827
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 442
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,129
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,135
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,269
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,525
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 910
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,474 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,263 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,070 | 0 | 6 |
| April | 670 | 1 | 34 |
| May | 325 | 21 | 206 |
| June | 80 | 88 | 460 |
| July | 23 | 162 | 604 |
| August | 34 | 125 | 556 |
| September | 187 | 41 | 316 |
| October | 533 | 3 | 78 |
| November | 885 | 0 | 8 |
| December | 1,285 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.2 km from Coleman. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00476208 (Oconto 4 W). Public domain.