Colby Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Owen 1E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 13 and the first fall freeze around September 26, a growing season of about 136 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 25, first September 17
- Median at 32°F
- last May 13, first September 26
- Median at 28°F
- last May 2, first October 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 9 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 28 | May 25 | May 22 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 |
| 32°F | May 29 | May 23 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 29 |
| 28°F | May 17 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 |
| 24°F | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 20°F | Apr 25 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 |
| 16°F | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 2 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Oct 1 |
| 32°F | Sep 12 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 |
| 28°F | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 21 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 |
| 20°F | Oct 12 | Oct 19 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 16 |
| 16°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 135 | 129 | 123 | 119 | 115 | 111 | 107 | 101 | 92 |
| 32°F | 155 | 148 | 143 | 140 | 136 | 132 | 126 | 122 | 116 |
| 28°F | 175 | 169 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 148 | 143 | 135 |
| 24°F | 202 | 195 | 188 | 183 | 178 | 174 | 169 | 163 | 156 |
| 20°F | 223 | 216 | 212 | 207 | 204 | 199 | 195 | 189 | 182 |
| 16°F | 243 | 235 | 230 | 226 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 208 | 201 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,789
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 324
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,776
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,835
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,010
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,305
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 736
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,660 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,399 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,158 | 0 | 7 |
| April | 703 | 1 | 34 |
| May | 343 | 17 | 194 |
| June | 99 | 70 | 424 |
| July | 39 | 121 | 547 |
| August | 63 | 84 | 487 |
| September | 247 | 29 | 260 |
| October | 630 | 2 | 55 |
| November | 1,011 | 0 | 4 |
| December | 1,440 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19 km from Colby. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00476357 (Owen 1E). Public domain.