Algoma Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Forestville-4E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 6 and the first fall freeze around October 17, a growing season of about 163 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 19, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last May 6, first October 17
- Median at 28°F
- last April 23, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 2 | May 28 | May 25 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 11 | May 6 |
| 32°F | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 |
| 28°F | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 24°F | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 |
| 20°F | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 |
| 16°F | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 |
| 32°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 |
| 28°F | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 |
| 20°F | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 |
| 16°F | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 158 | 151 | 145 | 141 | 137 | 134 | 130 | 125 | 119 |
| 32°F | 183 | 177 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 160 | 155 | 149 | 142 |
| 28°F | 210 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 186 | 181 | 176 | 169 |
| 24°F | 233 | 227 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 196 |
| 20°F | 251 | 245 | 241 | 236 | 232 | 228 | 224 | 220 | 214 |
| 16°F | 269 | 263 | 258 | 254 | 250 | 245 | 242 | 237 | 230 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,871
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 290
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,806
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,819
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,976
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,265
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 693
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,448 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,235 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,088 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 720 | 0 | 13 |
| May | 403 | 1 | 120 |
| June | 125 | 36 | 364 |
| July | 29 | 121 | 556 |
| August | 30 | 105 | 539 |
| September | 177 | 26 | 307 |
| October | 517 | 1 | 72 |
| November | 870 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,229 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.5 km from Algoma. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00472851 (Forestville-4E). Public domain.