Thomas Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Davis 3SE. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 9 and the first fall freeze around October 10, a growing season of about 153 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 21, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last May 9, first October 10
- Median at 28°F
- last April 30, first October 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 14 | May 10 | May 5 |
| 32°F | May 25 | May 20 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 |
| 28°F | May 17 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 |
| 24°F | May 6 | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
| 20°F | Apr 21 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 |
| 16°F | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 11 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 |
| 32°F | Sep 27 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 |
| 28°F | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 24°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
| 20°F | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
| 16°F | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 153 | 145 | 141 | 135 | 132 | 128 | 124 | 119 | 113 |
| 32°F | 173 | 166 | 162 | 157 | 153 | 148 | 144 | 139 | 132 |
| 28°F | 192 | 187 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 160 | 152 |
| 24°F | 216 | 208 | 203 | 199 | 195 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 173 |
| 20°F | 237 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 195 |
| 16°F | 261 | 252 | 245 | 240 | 236 | 231 | 227 | 221 | 214 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,194
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 188
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,997
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,919
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,982
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,203
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 590
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,274 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,086 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 978 | 0 | 13 |
| April | 600 | 1 | 71 |
| May | 328 | 7 | 201 |
| June | 122 | 37 | 367 |
| July | 45 | 74 | 494 |
| August | 69 | 50 | 447 |
| September | 204 | 17 | 278 |
| October | 533 | 1 | 89 |
| November | 834 | 0 | 16 |
| December | 1,122 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8 km from Thomas. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00462211 (Davis 3SE). Public domain.