Robinette Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Oceana 2 Se. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 22 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 184 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 2, first October 15
- Median at 32°F
- last April 22, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last April 9, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 18 | May 13 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 |
| 32°F | May 9 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 6 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 |
| 24°F | Apr 14 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 |
| 20°F | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 |
| 16°F | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 15 |
| 16°F | Nov 15 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 184 | 177 | 172 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 151 | 144 |
| 32°F | 203 | 197 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 171 | 162 |
| 28°F | 229 | 221 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 186 |
| 24°F | 252 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 214 | 206 |
| 20°F | 281 | 271 | 264 | 258 | 253 | 248 | 243 | 236 | 230 |
| 16°F | 312 | 302 | 294 | 288 | 282 | 276 | 271 | 262 | 254 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,889
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 880
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,902
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,598
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,451
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,449
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,590
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,010 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 815 | 0 | 9 |
| March | 670 | 1 | 46 |
| April | 342 | 10 | 183 |
| May | 139 | 63 | 396 |
| June | 18 | 171 | 603 |
| July | 2 | 268 | 732 |
| August | 2 | 241 | 704 |
| September | 52 | 112 | 511 |
| October | 310 | 15 | 215 |
| November | 633 | 0 | 38 |
| December | 897 | 0 | 9 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19.4 km from Robinette. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00466600 (Oceana 2 Se). Public domain.