Nitro Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Winfield Locks. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 18 and the first fall freeze around October 30, a growing season of about 193 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 29, first October 20
- Median at 32°F
- last April 18, first October 30
- Median at 28°F
- last April 4, first November 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 18 | May 12 | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 |
| 32°F | May 9 | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 |
| 28°F | Apr 21 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 |
| 24°F | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 3 |
| 20°F | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 |
| 16°F | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 |
| 32°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 28°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 24°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 8 |
| 20°F | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 | Dec 26 |
| 16°F | Nov 26 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 13 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 191 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 156 | 148 |
| 32°F | 214 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 193 | 189 | 183 | 176 | 168 |
| 28°F | 239 | 231 | 226 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 205 | 197 |
| 24°F | 272 | 261 | 254 | 248 | 243 | 238 | 232 | 227 | 221 |
| 20°F | 298 | 289 | 282 | 275 | 268 | 262 | 256 | 250 | 240 |
| 16°F | 326 | 315 | 306 | 302 | 297 | 291 | 283 | 276 | 266 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,568
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,154
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,407
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,052
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,855
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,807
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,907
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 967 | 0 | 10 |
| February | 790 | 0 | 13 |
| March | 644 | 2 | 60 |
| April | 309 | 18 | 214 |
| May | 119 | 84 | 433 |
| June | 13 | 226 | 663 |
| July | 1 | 335 | 800 |
| August | 1 | 308 | 772 |
| September | 43 | 154 | 561 |
| October | 272 | 25 | 249 |
| November | 571 | 1 | 64 |
| December | 839 | 0 | 17 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14 km from Nitro. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00469683 (Winfield Locks). Public domain.