Madison Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Madison 3NNW. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 16 and the first fall freeze around October 27, a growing season of about 192 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 29, first October 18
- Median at 32°F
- last April 16, first October 27
- Median at 28°F
- last April 3, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 13 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 |
| 32°F | May 2 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
| 28°F | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
| 24°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 3 |
| 20°F | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 |
| 16°F | Mar 17 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 |
| 32°F | Oct 13 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 |
| 28°F | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 |
| 20°F | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 22 |
| 16°F | Nov 23 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 190 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 164 | 160 | 154 |
| 32°F | 209 | 203 | 199 | 195 | 192 | 188 | 185 | 180 | 172 |
| 28°F | 233 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 205 | 201 | 195 |
| 24°F | 261 | 253 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 228 | 223 | 217 |
| 20°F | 293 | 283 | 277 | 271 | 265 | 259 | 254 | 247 | 238 |
| 16°F | 324 | 314 | 307 | 301 | 295 | 290 | 282 | 274 | 265 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,426
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,216
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,575
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,203
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,983
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,916
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,995
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 939 | 0 | 14 |
| February | 762 | 0 | 16 |
| March | 612 | 3 | 73 |
| April | 294 | 21 | 230 |
| May | 104 | 102 | 467 |
| June | 11 | 239 | 678 |
| July | 0 | 350 | 815 |
| August | 1 | 316 | 780 |
| September | 39 | 157 | 569 |
| October | 266 | 26 | 256 |
| November | 571 | 1 | 65 |
| December | 826 | 0 | 21 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.6 km from Madison. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00465563 (Madison 3NNW). Public domain.