Wilbur Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Wilbur. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 1 and the first fall freeze around September 22, a growing season of about 112 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last June 1, first September 22
- Median at 28°F
- last May 8, first October 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 22 | Jun 14 | Jun 9 | Jun 5 | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 21 | May 16 | May 10 |
| 28°F | Jun 1 | May 23 | May 16 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 |
| 24°F | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Mar 30 |
| 20°F | Apr 24 | Apr 16 | Apr 8 | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 18 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 26 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Sep 2 | Sep 7 | Sep 12 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 |
| 28°F | Sep 18 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 20 |
| 24°F | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 5 |
| 20°F | Oct 8 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 20 |
| 16°F | Oct 21 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 101 | 91 | 84 | 77 | 72 | 67 | 61 | 54 | 44 |
| 32°F | 139 | 130 | 124 | 117 | 112 | 106 | 99 | 91 | 80 |
| 28°F | 171 | 163 | 157 | 153 | 148 | 143 | 137 | 131 | 120 |
| 24°F | 206 | 195 | 188 | 182 | 177 | 171 | 167 | 161 | 154 |
| 20°F | 249 | 238 | 230 | 222 | 215 | 208 | 200 | 192 | 182 |
| 16°F | 284 | 274 | 266 | 259 | 254 | 248 | 241 | 232 | 221 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,346
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 293
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,627
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,637
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,813
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,142
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 633
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,220 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 986 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 853 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 626 | 0 | 22 |
| May | 366 | 6 | 149 |
| June | 198 | 25 | 282 |
| July | 53 | 129 | 541 |
| August | 60 | 111 | 516 |
| September | 228 | 22 | 261 |
| October | 611 | 0 | 40 |
| November | 933 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,215 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.7 km from Wilbur. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00459238 (Wilbur). Public domain.