Waterville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Waterville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 14 and the first fall freeze around October 1, a growing season of about 140 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 6, first September 19
- Median at 32°F
- last May 14, first October 1
- Median at 28°F
- last April 29, first October 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 27 | Jun 19 | Jun 14 | Jun 10 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 23 | May 16 |
| 32°F | Jun 4 | May 29 | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 10 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 28 |
| 28°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 |
| 24°F | May 1 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 |
| 20°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 |
| 16°F | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 2 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 |
| 32°F | Sep 18 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 14 |
| 28°F | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 |
| 24°F | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 |
| 20°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 |
| 16°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 129 | 122 | 115 | 110 | 105 | 100 | 94 | 87 | 78 |
| 32°F | 161 | 154 | 148 | 144 | 140 | 135 | 129 | 122 | 112 |
| 28°F | 185 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 161 | 156 | 151 | 145 |
| 24°F | 216 | 207 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 182 | 177 | 170 |
| 20°F | 248 | 240 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 207 | 199 |
| 16°F | 274 | 265 | 259 | 254 | 248 | 242 | 237 | 230 | 223 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,533
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 353
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,768
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,783
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,949
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,257
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 724
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,270 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,047 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 881 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 608 | 0 | 30 |
| May | 353 | 9 | 166 |
| June | 185 | 35 | 305 |
| July | 49 | 147 | 563 |
| August | 48 | 130 | 547 |
| September | 199 | 33 | 294 |
| October | 611 | 1 | 43 |
| November | 993 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,291 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.7 km from Waterville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00459012 (Waterville). Public domain.