Tanner Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cedar Lake. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 23 and the first fall freeze around November 1, a growing season of about 193 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 10, first October 16
- Median at 32°F
- last April 23, first November 1
- Median at 28°F
- last March 24, first November 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 27 | May 21 | May 17 | May 15 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 13 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 3 |
| 28°F | Apr 21 | Apr 10 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Feb 27 |
| 24°F | Mar 20 | Mar 11 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 5 | Jan 22 | Jan 8 |
| 20°F | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 4 | Jan 26 | Jan 14 | Jan 5 | Dec 23 | Dec 9 |
| 16°F | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 5 | Jan 29 | Jan 12 | Jan 1 | Dec 22 | Dec 11 | Dec 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 31 |
| 32°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 22 |
| 28°F | Nov 2 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 |
| 24°F | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 17 |
| 20°F | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Jan 1 | Jan 10 | Jan 26 | Feb 11 |
| 16°F | Nov 27 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 29 | Jan 7 | Jan 23 | Feb 6 | Feb 18 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 177 | 170 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 147 | 142 | 134 |
| 32°F | 222 | 210 | 204 | 198 | 193 | 188 | 183 | 177 | 169 |
| 28°F | 277 | 266 | 256 | 249 | 243 | 235 | 229 | 220 | 208 |
| 24°F | 348 | 330 | 319 | 309 | 299 | 290 | 282 | 272 | 259 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 362 | 351 | 340 | 330 | 322 | 313 | 300 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 351 | 336 | 322 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 75% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 43% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,723
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 59
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,091
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 1,998
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,171
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 584
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 225
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 915 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 790 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 792 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 641 | 0 | 19 |
| May | 454 | 1 | 91 |
| June | 313 | 5 | 158 |
| July | 164 | 24 | 326 |
| August | 142 | 22 | 346 |
| September | 281 | 5 | 185 |
| October | 544 | 0 | 40 |
| November | 756 | 0 | 2 |
| December | 933 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.8 km from Tanner. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00451233 (Cedar Lake). Public domain.