Sultan Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Startup 1 E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 15 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 192 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 8, first October 7
- Median at 32°F
- last April 15, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last March 18, first November 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 24 | May 20 | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 20 |
| 32°F | May 7 | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 25 |
| 28°F | Apr 11 | Apr 3 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 | Feb 22 |
| 24°F | Mar 16 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 5 | Jan 22 | Jan 2 |
| 20°F | Feb 26 | Feb 16 | Feb 3 | Jan 22 | Jan 12 | Jan 2 | Dec 23 | Dec 14 | Dec 5 |
| 16°F | Jan 31 | Jan 13 | Jan 4 | Dec 31 | Dec 21 | Dec 16 | Dec 10 | Dec 5 | Nov 30 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 22 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 |
| 32°F | Oct 5 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 15 |
| 28°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 19 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 12 |
| 24°F | Nov 7 | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 18 | Dec 29 | Jan 14 |
| 20°F | Nov 18 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 30 | Jan 8 | Jan 29 |
| 16°F | Nov 23 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 18 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 179 | 170 | 164 | 159 | 154 | 149 | 143 | 137 | 127 |
| 32°F | 222 | 212 | 204 | 198 | 192 | 186 | 179 | 172 | 162 |
| 28°F | 280 | 265 | 255 | 248 | 240 | 232 | 225 | 216 | 205 |
| 24°F | 340 | 324 | 313 | 304 | 294 | 284 | 275 | 264 | 252 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 361 | 350 | 340 | 334 | 326 | 317 | 302 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 344 | 333 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 73% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 38% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,024
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 147
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,466
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,031
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,904
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,062
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 477
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 753 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 634 | 0 | 7 |
| March | 608 | 0 | 20 |
| April | 463 | 1 | 61 |
| May | 301 | 7 | 187 |
| June | 174 | 17 | 293 |
| July | 67 | 55 | 453 |
| August | 58 | 55 | 462 |
| September | 166 | 13 | 298 |
| October | 414 | 0 | 99 |
| November | 612 | 0 | 18 |
| December | 773 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.4 km from Sultan. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00458034 (Startup 1 E). Public domain.