Skagit County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Concrete Ppl Fish Stn. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 28 and the first fall freeze around November 14, a growing season of about 229 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 25, first October 25
- Median at 32°F
- last March 28, first November 14
- Median at 28°F
- last February 25, first December 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 5 |
| 32°F | Apr 19 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 |
| 28°F | Mar 20 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 4 | Jan 19 |
| 24°F | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 13 | Feb 3 | Jan 27 | Jan 18 | Jan 9 | Dec 31 | Dec 13 |
| 20°F | Feb 19 | Feb 2 | Jan 26 | Jan 18 | Jan 9 | Jan 1 | Dec 23 | Dec 10 | Dec 5 |
| 16°F | Jan 29 | Jan 20 | Jan 12 | Jan 6 | Jan 1 | Dec 24 | Dec 11 | Dec 6 | Dec 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 8 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 13 |
| 32°F | Oct 23 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 4 |
| 28°F | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Jan 3 |
| 24°F | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 20 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 14 | Feb 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 28 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 18 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 11 | Jan 23 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 14 | Jan 25 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 212 | 202 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 181 | 175 | 169 | 162 |
| 32°F | 260 | 251 | 243 | 236 | 229 | 224 | 218 | 211 | 201 |
| 28°F | 324 | 312 | 302 | 292 | 285 | 277 | 269 | 260 | 247 |
| 24°F | 365 | 361 | 350 | 342 | 334 | 327 | 317 | 306 | 292 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 344 | 335 | 323 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 347 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 86% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 49% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 19% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,325
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 137
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,212
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,888
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,850
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,042
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 467
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 835 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 693 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 654 | 0 | 10 |
| April | 477 | 0 | 53 |
| May | 305 | 4 | 179 |
| June | 180 | 12 | 283 |
| July | 70 | 46 | 442 |
| August | 52 | 57 | 470 |
| September | 154 | 17 | 314 |
| October | 414 | 1 | 94 |
| November | 653 | 0 | 6 |
| December | 838 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.8 km from Skagit County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00451679 (Concrete Ppl Fish Stn). Public domain.