Republic Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Republic. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 30 and the first fall freeze around September 10, a growing season of about 102 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last May 30, first September 10
- Median at 28°F
- last May 12, first September 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 17 | Jun 11 | Jun 5 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 27 | May 23 | May 17 | May 11 |
| 28°F | May 28 | May 22 | May 17 | May 14 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 |
| 24°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 11 |
| 20°F | Apr 28 | Apr 21 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 19 |
| 16°F | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Aug 28 | Sep 2 | Sep 5 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 25 |
| 28°F | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 |
| 24°F | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 |
| 20°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 5 |
| 16°F | Oct 12 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 87 | 81 | 75 | 71 | 66 | 61 | 56 | 50 | 42 |
| 32°F | 125 | 117 | 112 | 107 | 102 | 97 | 93 | 87 | 79 |
| 28°F | 154 | 147 | 143 | 138 | 135 | 130 | 127 | 121 | 115 |
| 24°F | 185 | 178 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 158 | 154 | 149 | 142 |
| 20°F | 221 | 213 | 206 | 201 | 195 | 189 | 184 | 178 | 171 |
| 16°F | 255 | 245 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 218 | 210 | 202 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,866
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 167
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,291
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,339
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,547
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 910
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 449
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,283 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,037 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 891 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 638 | 0 | 17 |
| May | 391 | 2 | 127 |
| June | 219 | 13 | 250 |
| July | 69 | 78 | 475 |
| August | 78 | 66 | 453 |
| September | 278 | 8 | 203 |
| October | 677 | 0 | 22 |
| November | 1,005 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,299 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.2 km from Republic. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00456974 (Republic). Public domain.