Quilcene Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Quilcene 2 Sw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 11 and the first fall freeze around October 28, a growing season of about 199 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 2, first October 12
- Median at 32°F
- last April 11, first October 28
- Median at 28°F
- last March 7, first November 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 17 | May 13 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 19 |
| 32°F | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 21 |
| 28°F | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 13 |
| 24°F | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Jan 24 | Jan 7 | Dec 24 |
| 20°F | Feb 21 | Feb 12 | Feb 1 | Jan 23 | Jan 12 | Jan 3 | Dec 25 | Dec 14 | Dec 5 |
| 16°F | Feb 13 | Jan 31 | Jan 16 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 22 | Dec 12 | Dec 7 | Dec 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 28 |
| 32°F | Oct 13 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 15 |
| 28°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 7 |
| 24°F | Nov 10 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 10 |
| 20°F | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 16 | Feb 3 |
| 16°F | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 4 | Jan 16 | Feb 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 181 | 175 | 170 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 148 | 141 |
| 32°F | 227 | 218 | 210 | 204 | 199 | 193 | 188 | 183 | 173 |
| 28°F | 290 | 275 | 267 | 259 | 252 | 246 | 240 | 231 | 220 |
| 24°F | 347 | 334 | 322 | 313 | 304 | 296 | 286 | 276 | 262 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 346 | 336 | 330 | 319 | 306 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 350 | 335 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 67% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 29% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,372
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 112
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,158
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,821
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,769
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 965
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 408
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 811 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 683 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 634 | 0 | 12 |
| April | 479 | 0 | 51 |
| May | 308 | 1 | 173 |
| June | 186 | 12 | 277 |
| July | 67 | 48 | 446 |
| August | 70 | 42 | 437 |
| September | 175 | 8 | 284 |
| October | 445 | 0 | 77 |
| November | 675 | 0 | 8 |
| December | 840 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.1 km from Quilcene. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00456846 (Quilcene 2 Sw). Public domain.