Pe Ell Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Grays Rvr Hatchery. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 27 and the first fall freeze around October 22, a growing season of about 178 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 17, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last April 27, first October 22
- Median at 28°F
- last March 25, first November 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 7 | May 31 | May 28 | May 22 | May 17 | May 12 | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 27 |
| 32°F | May 18 | May 9 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 2 |
| 28°F | Apr 20 | Apr 11 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 17 | Mar 10 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 |
| 24°F | Mar 21 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 11 | Jan 31 | Jan 11 | Dec 21 |
| 20°F | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 16 | Feb 4 | Jan 28 | Jan 10 | Dec 31 | Dec 16 | Dec 3 |
| 16°F | Feb 23 | Feb 12 | Feb 1 | Jan 21 | Jan 8 | Jan 1 | Dec 29 | Dec 10 | Dec 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 15 | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 22 |
| 32°F | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 11 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 | Dec 2 | Dec 16 |
| 24°F | Nov 8 | Nov 17 | Nov 25 | Dec 2 | Dec 10 | Dec 22 | Jan 1 | Jan 13 | Feb 8 |
| 20°F | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 | Jan 8 | Jan 23 | Feb 9 | Feb 21 |
| 16°F | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 17 | Jan 26 | Feb 4 | Feb 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 167 | 157 | 150 | 145 | 138 | 132 | 126 | 120 | 111 |
| 32°F | 209 | 198 | 190 | 183 | 178 | 172 | 165 | 158 | 148 |
| 28°F | 277 | 266 | 252 | 244 | 236 | 228 | 220 | 210 | 197 |
| 24°F | 351 | 334 | 322 | 311 | 303 | 294 | 280 | 270 | 253 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 343 | 334 | 320 | 307 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 346 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 93% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 54% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 15% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,985
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 112
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,380
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,895
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,753
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 926
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 383
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 721 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 601 | 0 | 6 |
| March | 608 | 0 | 17 |
| April | 476 | 0 | 52 |
| May | 321 | 5 | 163 |
| June | 212 | 12 | 254 |
| July | 95 | 42 | 412 |
| August | 84 | 36 | 417 |
| September | 165 | 16 | 303 |
| October | 391 | 1 | 109 |
| November | 587 | 0 | 15 |
| December | 727 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 28.6 km from Pe Ell. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00453333 (Grays Rvr Hatchery). Public domain.