Napavine Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Centralia. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 22 and the first fall freeze around October 27, a growing season of about 188 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 7, first October 8
- Median at 32°F
- last April 22, first October 27
- Median at 28°F
- last March 23, first November 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 24 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 |
| 32°F | May 10 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 5 | Mar 30 |
| 28°F | Apr 17 | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 4 | Feb 24 |
| 24°F | Mar 17 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 3 | Jan 21 | Jan 2 |
| 20°F | Mar 4 | Feb 25 | Feb 17 | Feb 8 | Jan 27 | Jan 13 | Jan 2 | Dec 22 | Dec 10 |
| 16°F | Feb 25 | Feb 15 | Feb 1 | Jan 12 | Jan 1 | Dec 24 | Dec 16 | Dec 9 | Dec 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 22 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 |
| 32°F | Oct 7 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 17 |
| 28°F | Oct 21 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 7 |
| 24°F | Nov 6 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 21 | Jan 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 17 | Nov 27 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Jan 1 | Jan 12 | Feb 8 |
| 16°F | Nov 27 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 22 | Dec 31 | Jan 10 | Feb 2 | Feb 19 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 178 | 170 | 163 | 158 | 154 | 150 | 144 | 138 | 130 |
| 32°F | 215 | 206 | 199 | 193 | 188 | 184 | 178 | 172 | 163 |
| 28°F | 269 | 257 | 249 | 242 | 234 | 228 | 221 | 212 | 200 |
| 24°F | 333 | 317 | 304 | 295 | 286 | 277 | 269 | 260 | 248 |
| 20°F | 365 | 360 | 348 | 338 | 329 | 319 | 309 | 300 | 284 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 343 | 332 | 316 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 83% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 47% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,063
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 164
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,469
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,051
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,943
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,104
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 504
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 770 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 652 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 620 | 0 | 14 |
| April | 471 | 0 | 53 |
| May | 298 | 4 | 183 |
| June | 165 | 18 | 303 |
| July | 57 | 63 | 471 |
| August | 49 | 64 | 480 |
| September | 150 | 15 | 316 |
| October | 406 | 0 | 101 |
| November | 633 | 0 | 13 |
| December | 792 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16.5 km from Napavine. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00451276 (Centralia). Public domain.