Montesano Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Aberdeen. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 29 and the first fall freeze around November 15, a growing season of about 234 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 23, first October 27
- Median at 32°F
- last March 29, first November 15
- Median at 28°F
- last February 18, first December 6
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 11 | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 4 |
| 32°F | Apr 20 | Apr 12 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 15 | Mar 6 | Feb 25 |
| 28°F | Mar 20 | Mar 7 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 | Jan 31 | Jan 16 | Dec 27 |
| 24°F | Feb 20 | Feb 10 | Jan 29 | Jan 14 | Jan 5 | Dec 29 | Dec 20 | Dec 11 | Dec 2 |
| 20°F | Jan 14 | Jan 1 | Dec 31 | Dec 23 | Dec 20 | Dec 16 | Dec 11 | Dec 7 | Dec 1 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 14 |
| 32°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 10 |
| 28°F | Nov 11 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 23 | Jan 2 | Jan 26 |
| 24°F | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 | Jan 4 | Jan 16 | Feb 8 |
| 20°F | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 10 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 214 | 204 | 198 | 192 | 187 | 182 | 177 | 170 | 163 |
| 32°F | 272 | 258 | 249 | 242 | 234 | 227 | 220 | 213 | 204 |
| 28°F | 351 | 334 | 323 | 311 | 304 | 294 | 284 | 272 | 256 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 351 | 338 | 329 | 314 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 353 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 54% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 12% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 1% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,017
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 53
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,271
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,755
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,591
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 757
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 233
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 696 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 602 | 0 | 5 |
| March | 594 | 0 | 17 |
| April | 485 | 1 | 40 |
| May | 345 | 4 | 140 |
| June | 218 | 7 | 239 |
| July | 131 | 13 | 347 |
| August | 113 | 15 | 367 |
| September | 165 | 12 | 297 |
| October | 376 | 1 | 116 |
| November | 572 | 0 | 17 |
| December | 721 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.2 km from Montesano. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00450008 (Aberdeen). Public domain.