Marrowstone Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Port Townsend. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 1 and the first fall freeze around November 28, a growing season of about 274 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 31, first November 9
- Median at 32°F
- last March 1, first November 28
- Median at 28°F
- last February 1, first December 19
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 26 | Apr 16 | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 10 |
| 32°F | Mar 23 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 3 |
| 28°F | Mar 3 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 1 | Jan 21 | Jan 11 | Jan 2 | Dec 14 |
| 24°F | Feb 20 | Feb 3 | Jan 21 | Jan 13 | Jan 4 | Dec 28 | Dec 15 | Dec 8 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Jan 18 | Jan 9 | Dec 25 | Dec 15 | Dec 9 | Dec 5 | Dec 1 | Nov 25 | Nov 19 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 19 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 |
| 32°F | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 9 | Dec 17 | Dec 26 |
| 28°F | Nov 20 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 | Jan 3 | Jan 15 | Feb 6 |
| 24°F | Nov 23 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 12 | Jan 24 | Feb 12 |
| 20°F | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 11 | Dec 21 | Jan 1 | Jan 14 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 249 | 239 | 232 | 227 | 221 | 214 | 208 | 201 | 191 |
| 32°F | 309 | 297 | 288 | 281 | 274 | 268 | 261 | 253 | 243 |
| 28°F | 365 | 355 | 343 | 333 | 324 | 316 | 309 | 301 | 285 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 347 | 334 | 321 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 88% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 46% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 13% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 1% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,837
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 61
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,444
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,895
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,712
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 864
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 302
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 701 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 603 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 583 | 0 | 11 |
| April | 440 | 0 | 51 |
| May | 306 | 1 | 165 |
| June | 175 | 8 | 284 |
| July | 92 | 24 | 397 |
| August | 76 | 23 | 412 |
| September | 170 | 5 | 285 |
| October | 395 | 0 | 93 |
| November | 579 | 0 | 9 |
| December | 718 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.7 km from Marrowstone. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00456678 (Port Townsend). Public domain.