Loon Lake Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Deer Park AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 22 and the first fall freeze around September 14, a growing season of about 112 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last May 22, first September 14
- Median at 28°F
- last May 3, first September 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 15 | Jun 5 | May 31 | May 27 | May 22 | May 17 | May 13 | May 8 | May 2 |
| 28°F | May 21 | May 14 | May 11 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 |
| 24°F | May 7 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 7 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 |
| 20°F | Apr 20 | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 |
| 16°F | Mar 24 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 16 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Aug 28 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Oct 1 |
| 28°F | Sep 14 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 14 |
| 24°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Nov 3 |
| 20°F | Oct 5 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 20 |
| 16°F | Oct 18 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Dec 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 98 | 90 | 83 | 78 | 72 | 67 | 60 | 52 | 42 |
| 32°F | 140 | 130 | 123 | 117 | 112 | 108 | 102 | 94 | 84 |
| 28°F | 170 | 162 | 155 | 150 | 146 | 140 | 135 | 129 | 122 |
| 24°F | 209 | 199 | 192 | 184 | 178 | 173 | 165 | 158 | 150 |
| 20°F | 245 | 237 | 230 | 223 | 216 | 209 | 201 | 193 | 181 |
| 16°F | 278 | 268 | 260 | 254 | 247 | 242 | 236 | 229 | 219 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,286
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 217
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,505
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,509
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,685
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,021
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 531
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,163 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 974 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 851 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 609 | 0 | 26 |
| May | 367 | 4 | 146 |
| June | 212 | 18 | 262 |
| July | 59 | 99 | 505 |
| August | 66 | 81 | 481 |
| September | 256 | 14 | 228 |
| October | 632 | 0 | 35 |
| November | 926 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,172 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.1 km from Loon Lake. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00094119 (Deer Park AP). Public domain.