Jefferson County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Elwha RS. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 9 and the first fall freeze around November 3, a growing season of about 209 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 3, first October 19
- Median at 32°F
- last April 9, first November 3
- Median at 28°F
- last March 4, first November 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 19 | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 |
| 32°F | Apr 29 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 19 |
| 28°F | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 3 |
| 24°F | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 1 | Jan 21 | Jan 10 | Jan 1 | Dec 13 |
| 20°F | Feb 17 | Feb 1 | Jan 24 | Jan 16 | Jan 7 | Dec 31 | Dec 18 | Dec 10 | Dec 2 |
| 16°F | Jan 31 | Jan 22 | Jan 16 | Jan 10 | Jan 1 | Dec 22 | Dec 11 | Dec 7 | Nov 29 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 |
| 32°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 23 |
| 28°F | Nov 2 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 | Dec 23 |
| 24°F | Nov 18 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 8 | Feb 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 21 | Dec 31 | Jan 9 | Jan 22 | Feb 7 |
| 16°F | Nov 27 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 29 | Jan 6 | Jan 15 | Jan 19 | Jan 30 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 189 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 165 | 159 | 155 | 148 |
| 32°F | 235 | 227 | 220 | 214 | 209 | 205 | 199 | 193 | 185 |
| 28°F | 307 | 292 | 282 | 275 | 268 | 260 | 252 | 244 | 232 |
| 24°F | 365 | 351 | 340 | 331 | 322 | 315 | 307 | 297 | 281 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 351 | 342 | 334 | 320 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 90% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 54% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 15% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,008
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 81
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,594
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,370
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,440
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 742
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 289
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 870 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 748 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 704 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 539 | 0 | 26 |
| May | 364 | 1 | 128 |
| June | 243 | 9 | 218 |
| July | 120 | 31 | 377 |
| August | 95 | 34 | 405 |
| September | 215 | 6 | 244 |
| October | 511 | 0 | 40 |
| November | 725 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 877 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 26.7 km from Jefferson County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00452548 (Elwha RS). Public domain.