Forks Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Forks 1 E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 26 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 182 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 14, first October 5
- Median at 32°F
- last April 26, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last March 27, first November 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 31 | May 24 | May 21 | May 16 | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 28 |
| 32°F | May 10 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 5 |
| 28°F | Apr 21 | Apr 14 | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 14 | Mar 6 | Feb 27 |
| 24°F | Mar 22 | Mar 9 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 1 | Jan 20 | Dec 30 |
| 20°F | Feb 22 | Feb 12 | Jan 31 | Jan 20 | Jan 9 | Dec 31 | Dec 18 | Dec 12 | Dec 2 |
| 16°F | Feb 12 | Jan 23 | Jan 5 | Dec 30 | Dec 21 | Dec 14 | Dec 11 | Dec 6 | Nov 30 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 20 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 24 |
| 32°F | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 15 |
| 28°F | Oct 23 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 9 |
| 24°F | Nov 8 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 31 | Jan 16 |
| 20°F | Nov 22 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 30 | Jan 7 | Jan 22 | Feb 11 |
| 16°F | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 17 | Dec 24 | Jan 3 | Jan 17 | Feb 11 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 168 | 159 | 154 | 150 | 145 | 140 | 135 | 130 | 121 |
| 32°F | 210 | 200 | 192 | 187 | 182 | 177 | 172 | 166 | 158 |
| 28°F | 274 | 259 | 248 | 239 | 231 | 225 | 218 | 211 | 200 |
| 24°F | 347 | 326 | 316 | 306 | 297 | 288 | 278 | 266 | 253 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 354 | 343 | 334 | 324 | 309 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 351 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 60% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 15% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,384
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 56
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,007
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,588
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,507
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 732
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 247
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 752 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 645 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 637 | 0 | 10 |
| April | 501 | 0 | 38 |
| May | 356 | 2 | 132 |
| June | 233 | 8 | 226 |
| July | 124 | 20 | 361 |
| August | 105 | 20 | 380 |
| September | 194 | 6 | 264 |
| October | 428 | 0 | 81 |
| November | 629 | 0 | 11 |
| December | 781 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.4 km from Forks. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00452914 (Forks 1 E). Public domain.