Cascade Valley Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Moses Lake Grant CO AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 27 and the first fall freeze around October 8, a growing season of about 165 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 9, first September 29
- Median at 32°F
- last April 27, first October 8
- Median at 28°F
- last April 10, first October 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 23 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 10 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 21 |
| 24°F | Apr 10 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 |
| 20°F | Mar 19 | Mar 11 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 |
| 16°F | Mar 4 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 27 | Jan 16 | Jan 3 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 |
| 32°F | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 |
| 28°F | Oct 5 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 5 |
| 24°F | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
| 20°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 |
| 16°F | Nov 2 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 159 | 153 | 149 | 144 | 141 | 137 | 133 | 128 | 122 |
| 32°F | 186 | 179 | 174 | 170 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 152 | 146 |
| 28°F | 216 | 207 | 201 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 177 | 170 |
| 24°F | 255 | 245 | 237 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 213 | 205 | 196 |
| 20°F | 291 | 280 | 272 | 266 | 260 | 255 | 249 | 242 | 231 |
| 16°F | 330 | 316 | 305 | 297 | 291 | 284 | 276 | 267 | 257 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 99% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,791
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 676
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,989
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,791
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,772
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,921
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,220
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,082 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 830 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 673 | 0 | 10 |
| April | 436 | 1 | 79 |
| May | 196 | 27 | 302 |
| June | 59 | 95 | 486 |
| July | 6 | 268 | 727 |
| August | 9 | 232 | 688 |
| September | 117 | 53 | 388 |
| October | 471 | 1 | 86 |
| November | 824 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 1,090 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.1 km from Cascade Valley. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00024110 (Moses Lake Grant CO AP). Public domain.