Brier Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Seattle Sand Pt Wsfo. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 8 and the first fall freeze around November 23, a growing season of about 259 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 4, first November 5
- Median at 32°F
- last March 8, first November 23
- Median at 28°F
- last February 11, first December 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 26 | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 |
| 32°F | Mar 29 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 13 |
| 28°F | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 11 | Feb 2 | Jan 24 | Jan 9 | Dec 27 |
| 24°F | Feb 20 | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Jan 24 | Jan 9 | Jan 1 | Dec 22 | Dec 12 | Dec 3 |
| 20°F | Feb 13 | Jan 31 | Jan 6 | Dec 30 | Dec 23 | Dec 15 | Dec 11 | Dec 5 | Nov 29 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 |
| 32°F | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 16 |
| 28°F | Nov 17 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 17 |
| 24°F | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 24 | Feb 8 |
| 20°F | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 5 | Jan 28 | Feb 10 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 237 | 230 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 210 | 205 | 199 | 191 |
| 32°F | 289 | 277 | 270 | 265 | 259 | 253 | 248 | 241 | 231 |
| 28°F | 348 | 334 | 324 | 316 | 308 | 302 | 293 | 283 | 273 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 353 | 340 | 332 | 323 | 312 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 338 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 96% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 59% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 16% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,483
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 211
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,967
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,424
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,207
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,298
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 627
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 704 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 605 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 572 | 0 | 18 |
| April | 426 | 0 | 63 |
| May | 258 | 4 | 215 |
| June | 125 | 18 | 344 |
| July | 31 | 78 | 512 |
| August | 23 | 86 | 529 |
| September | 107 | 24 | 368 |
| October | 354 | 0 | 132 |
| November | 558 | 0 | 20 |
| December | 721 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 11 km from Brier. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00094290 (Seattle Sand Pt Wsfo). Public domain.